Big Poll Adds Even More Fuel to Trump Train, As Enten Explains Funny Reason Voters Are Fleeing Harris

By Nick Arama | 4:55 PM on October 24, 2024

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Those polls are starting to accumulate now for President Donald Trump.

We've covered both the HarrisX/Forbes (+2 for Trump) and the Wall Street Journal (+3 for Trump) polls, when it comes to the national vote.

Nate Silver's Latest Remarks and New HarrisX Poll Are Going to Make Dems Lose Their Minds

As I mentioned, the polls are racking up for Trump, and now there's another one: PO Strategies and Hart Research for CNBC. The new national polling has Trump up by 2, 48 to 46 percent.

🇺🇲 National poll by @POStrategies (R) & Hart Research (D) for @CNBC

🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 46%

Battleground States
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 47%

•1000 RV (±3.1%) | October 15-19
• N=586 RVs in 7 battleground stateshttps://t.co/BflR4GPl5a pic.twitter.com/in1mZ1Q3J8
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 24, 2024

The poll has Trump up 1 point in the battleground states, 48 to 47 percent.

On top of that, just like the WSJ poll, Trump is viewed more favorably than Kamala Harris. Harris has lost all her post-convention bounce, they note. Meanwhile, Trump has improved his favorability since August, while Harris' has gone down.

POLL: President Trump is now viewed more favorably than Kamala — who "has lost all her post-convention bounce" pic.twitter.com/DtsfhKRQD0
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) October 24, 2024

That's gotta tick off Harris, given that people like "Hitler" more than her. That tells you how much her attacks are failing.

On top of that, CNN's Harry Enten had some interesting things to say about independents. Now, I'm not sure I agree with him, on her leading by 2 with independents generally. Most of the polls I've seen seem to have Trump up with independents. But even if that's true, as Enten noted, it's far less than what Biden had in 2020, and she's lost 3 points with them since September. Moreover, Trump is ahead with them in the battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by 1 point.

Trump's doing much better with independents than in 2020. Harris leads them by a smidge nationally. Trump ahead a little in MI, PA & WI.

Only Nixon 60, Ford 76 & Kerry 04 have won indies & lost.

Remember: voters are more likely to see Harris 2024 as too liberal vs. Biden 2020. pic.twitter.com/8GQM3oZ6tY
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 23, 2024

Enten said that should give the Democrats "agita." As the independents go, so goes the election, he said generally.

Why are we seeing this movement away from the Democrats and toward Trump? Enten explained that it was likely influenced by the number of people who viewed Harris as too liberal, which is 48 percent.

"Harris might be a little too out of the mainstream" as compared to Trump when we're talking ideologically, Enten said. That's particularly funny, given Harris' efforts to paint Trump as "extreme" or "Hitler." The trends, he concluded, have voters moving toward Trump.

That new PO Strategies and Hart Research for CNBC poll has the Real Clear Politics average at 0.2, and that's probably only saved from flipping because of some of the ridiculous polls like the Morning Consult poll. One more poll, and it probably flips.