Could Iran's civil and military leadership be coming apart at the seams? We've seen some indication that this might be happening; the supposed "Supreme Leader," Mojtaba Khamenei missing in action, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) seeming to have seized control of what's left of Iran's military, and Iran's negotiations are best characterized as a left hand with no knowledge of what the right hand is doing.
Things aren't looking good for the Islamic Republic, even before you include the fact that the United States is basically shoveling tons of high explosives into Iran every night.
Now, a New York Post piece is citing reports from "regional sources" that the disintegration of Iran's leadership may be further along than we thought.
Iran’s leaders are fighting each other almost as much as they’re battling the West, with some senior politicians scrambling to save US talks while the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leans into the renewed war, regional sources told The Post.
With Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei out of public view, there’s no one left to force the rival factions back into line — meaning the future of the conflict may now be decided by a power struggle in Tehran, not by Washington.
The growing divide has exposed what the sources describe as two competing centers of power inside Tehran: civilian leaders trying to preserve a fragile diplomatic track and military hardliners determined to keep up pressure through confrontation.
Now, there's a little room for skepticism here.
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First of all, we've heard indications of such a disintegration before, as noted above, and yet the fight goes on. The Supreme Leader, yes, appears to have been deprived of his marbles, even if he is still above whatever passes for grass in Tehran, and not under it. Iran's negotiating team seems to have very little grasp of what they are supposed to be doing, and the IRGC seems to be doing whatever it pleases. But so far, the remains of Iran's civil leadership seem to be holding together.
One named expert did express some doubts:
“Yes, there are politicians who occasionally come out, including even Iran’s foreign minister, who talk about dialogue,” (Behnam Ben) Taleblu (senior director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ Iran Program) told The Post. “But those driving the train, those with their finger on the trigger, those making some of the most important decisions continue to talk and act like escalation is what will secure their survival, not engagement.”
There's the key concern. It's looking as though the harder Iran gets pounded, the more its civil leadership is degraded, the more influence on the direction of the country falls to the IRGC, and these people are, to put it mildly, nuts. They appear to have no intention of giving up, and every intention of fighting it out, whatever the cost. And here's the problem: Time may well work for them, not for the United States. They are certainly aware of our midterm elections in November. They are certainly aware that a new Congress will be seated in January of 2027, one that may not support President Trump's Iran agenda and may yank funding, forcing the hostilities to an end.
Yes, there are signs that the Iranian government may be coming apart at the seams. But that makes bringing this thing to a quick and decisive end more, not less, vital.
Editor's Note: For decades, former presidents have been all talk and no action. Now, Donald Trump is eliminating the threat from Iran once and for all.
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