As if things weren't tense enough already, some experts think that Iran may have been closer to assembling at least a primitive nuclear warhead than previously thought. That is, to put it mildly, disconcerting. Israel's recent attacks on Iran have been mostly aimed at destroying Iran's nuclear program along with un-aliving their senior military leaders, and if Israel had such intelligence, that may have led to the decision to attack.

While Israeli experts have warned for years that Iran was enriching uranium at a level that put it "weeks away" from a nuclear weapon, in recent days, there has been a shift. According to Israeli intelligence sources, Iran was on the verge of assembling a crude nuclear device.

Beni Sabti, an Iran expert at the Institute of National Security Studies, told Fox News Digital the threat was urgent and specific: Tehran was pulling its materials together "in a secret place near Tehran to make a primitive warhead."

Gregg Roman, executive director of the Middle East Forum, said that since the Trump administration reinitiated nuclear negotiations, Israel had been collecting fresh intelligence that raised alarm bells.

What kind of intelligence? That's the interesting part; from what is named, it looks a little on the circumstantial side. 

"There were a few things that stood out," Roman said, referencing activity at the Times Enrichment facility. "Iran reactivated an explosives manufacturing line, which could only be used to help that needed nuclear weapon… efforts to put the fissile material into a shape which could be used for a nuclear weapon – that was reactivated as well."

Explosives have lots of uses, not all of them military. What would be interesting to know is what that shape is; if a nuclear weapons expert is concerned, we can assume that at least part of the work is being done by putting explosives into the distinctive lens shapes required for an implosion-type bomb.

Bear in mind that the United States built one of these in 1945, so it's not exactly a brand-new technology. 

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We should note that Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, speaking on behalf of the U.S. intelligence community, is more skeptical.

However, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard told a Senate worldwide threats hearing in April Iran is not moving toward a nuclear weapon.

"The IC [intelligence community] continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Khamenei has not authorized the nuclear weapon program that he suspended in 2003," she said. 

Granted, it's in Israel's interest to show Iran progressing on nuclear weapons development. If Iran were to develop a working nuke, they would likely use it, and almost certainly on Israel. That's a problem that would seem to be resolved now.

Still: The problem here is that too many folks seem to think that Iran would have to not only build a nuclear weapon, but to make it possible to put it on the nose of a missile. Iran could just as easily place a crude device in a shipping container and place it in an old ship, sail it into Tel Aviv harbor, and torch it off.

If there's a way to use a nuke, even a crude one, then we have to assume that Iran has thought about it. And we can be pretty certain that, if they aren't working on nukes, they will in the future. So it's just as good that Israel has turned their nuclear facilities into rubble and ruin.

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