President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, Wednesday, April 1, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
This is the 17th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2358Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.
Chart One’s data table shows Total Infections, Total Fatalities, and the Mortality Rate. The upper graph, shows the number of NEW infections by date. Hopefully, this will give us a clear view of the infection trend line as more test materials make it into the field and into common use. Today’s number of new infections is 32,088, which is 2,214 more than yesterday. Note that the curve in new infections is still continuing to flatten. We’ll be watching this line for the next few days, especially in light of the President’s commentary that the “peak” should come in 2-3 weeks.
The lower graph shows new U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 1320 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 7391.
The second chart shows the U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) continued over 2% today ending at 2.67%.
This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:
M/R = 2.67%
+1 = 1.33%
+2 = 0.89%
+3 = 0.67%
Although the Mortality rate appears to be increasing, the rate of new infections and new fatalities appears to be moving to the right.
We hope this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments. Please comment on the value of the “New Infections” chart. Please understand, that although I’d like to include many more charts, time constraints make this impractical. If there is a current chart that would be better replaced by another type, please holler.
Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.
Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.