The Iranian regime has misjudged President Donald Trump, and they've miscalculated what they can get away with.
But they're beginning to understand they're not dealing with Barack Obama or Joe Biden.
Trump is blockading them into oblivion, and they'd like out. They may have made some movement in their last offer to Trump, but it doesn't fully address his topline concern about the nuclear weapons before anything else. And he does not appear to be budging on that.
Meanwhile, Iran, being Iran, appeared to back away from any claims that they talked about the nuclear question.
“I once again emphasize that Iran’s 14-point proposal is focused exclusively on ending the war,” foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei told state television.
“Therefore, none of the issues addressed by some media have any place in our proposal,” he added.
“In the current circumstances, we do not have nuclear negotiations,” he said.
But now Trump may be moving to take away the final play they had left — obstructing things in the Strait. Trump announced the U.S. would be helping the ships Iran had been blocking through the Strait as a "humanitarian" gesture.
READ MORE: Trump’s New Strait Plan Kicks Off Monday - With a Clear Message Attached
An Iranian official said they would interpret that as a violation of the ceasefire.
A member of Iranian parliament's national security committee says any US intervention in Hormuz shipping would violate the ceasefire. “The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf are not a place for rhetoric,” Ebrahim Azizi posted on X after President Trump's escort plan.
He posted a short time later:
The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional posts! No one would believe Blame Game scenarios!
How is it a violation? It's explicitly a "humanitarian action." Trump is helping get out the ships that have been stuck in the Persian Gulf since the start of the military action.
If they fire on anyone, they're the ones who are breaking the ceasefire, and they're restarting hostilities.
I'd also note that Azizi may not know what the actual folks in charge of the regime are thinking or have said to Trump.
Their options are drying up for Iran if Trump manages to help clear shipping through the area. Trump doesn't actually say we will be escorting the ships that have been trapped; he said we will be "doing our best to help them get out." So I take that to mean we will not necessarily be providing any big targets for them to shoot at, but will be using our capabilities to guide/protect the ships.
What Iran is likely to do is run a lot of small boats at a ship all at the same time, as they have done in the past. If they do that, the U.S. might take them out from the air just like they do with the narco-boats. If Iran starts firing missiles at the ships of other countries, that would not go well for them, and that would prompt more countries against them.
Meanwhile, the blockade and Operation Economic Fury continue to choke them. So they can throw all the tantrums they want, but they still have that crushing them, big time.
Oh, and Trump posted shortly after Azizi did. The response was simple. Click on for the full picture.
— The White House (@WhiteHouse) May 3, 2026
Editor's Note: For decades, former presidents have been all talk and no action. Now, Donald Trump is eliminating the threat from Iran once and for all.
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