President Donald J. Trump, joined by Vice President Mike Pence, meets with patients Tuesday, April 14, 2020, who have recovered from the COVID-19 Coronavirus, in the Cabinet Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)
This is the 29th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.
Chart One’s data table shows Total Infections, Total Fatalities, and the Mortality Rate. The upper graph shows the number of NEW infections by date. As more test materials have made into the field and been put to good use, trend lines are becoming more clear, even if at times, counterintuitive. Today’s number of new infections is 30,169, which is 3,224 more than yesterday. The curve in new infections is no longer moving in the right direction.
The lower graph shows new U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 2,471 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 28,518. This was 64 more than yesterday’s inflated account.
The second chart shows the U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) remains over 4%.
This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:
M/R = 4.43%
+1 = 2.21%
+2 = 1.48%
+3 = 1.11%
Analysis: There is now open and notorious tampering with the numbers (see the comments clip from the Worldometers site). I have voiced my concern with the Managing Editor and we will likely get a decision in a day or so as to the continued value of these updates. Bad numbers make for skewed analysis, but there is also value added in getting this stuff in the public record. More to follow.
The Red State Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.
Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.
Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.
** On the first chart, I have “hidden” the daily entries from March 1-5, due to space considerations. The data is still reflected in the graphs. Here is a link to the last report that has March 1-5 table data visible, if you need it.