Early Monday morning (local time), explosions rocked two oil tank farms in Bryansk, Russia.  Bryansk is about 250 miles northeast of the Ukrainian capital, Kiev, and less than 70 miles from the Ukrainian border.

The tweets below are presented solely for the purpose of illustration; the opinions and conclusions expressed are those of the writers.

🔥2 huge fires in Bryansk. Tank base and possibly military

Tanks at the tank farm are blazing, the regional government said. pic.twitter.com/v6nWIyU7WX

— Chebureki Vibes (@PelmeniPusha) April 25, 2022

Unverified claims right now: Oil terminals (storage tanks). Makes total sense – lots of them in Bryansk and probably consistent with magnitude of these explosions. These are NOT Putin's false flags. You can't rally the population to go commit genocide by blowing up oil. pic.twitter.com/p4x2NPm5aa

— Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) April 25, 2022

#BREAKING: Large explosions reported at a large Russian military base in Bryansk, Russia amidst reported strikes by Ukrainian forces.

📍53.2245023, 34.3963685

Reported strikes follow visit by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin. pic.twitter.com/AhDKb9WAIZ

— Moshe Schwartz (@YWNReporter) April 25, 2022

Turns out that the large explosions in the Russian city of Bryansk tonight are most likely at the location of an oil depot & parts of the Druzhba oil pipeline.

It’s the world’s longest oil pipeline & leads all the way to Germany.

Potential false flag. pic.twitter.com/ZiqitYZ4Jj

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) April 25, 2022

An oil facility directly responsible for the flow of #Russian oil to Europe is on fire in #Bryansk, #Russia. Next to it, just a few km away, a Russian military base is on fire.

Glory to #Ukraine✊🏻🇺🇦.

No typo this time.

Videos below. pic.twitter.com/jVQbahezgx

— Canadian Ukrainian Volunteer 🇺🇦🇨🇦✊🏻 (@CanadianUkrain1) April 25, 2022

Here are my thoughts:

Over the past week, we’ve seen unexplained fires at three significant facilities inside Russia in just two days (read Bad Luck Strikes Russia as Three Major Fires in Two Days Damage Defense and Private Industry).

Last month, Ukraine carried out two strikes in Russian territory. It hit an ammunition storage area and a fuel storage depot (see Ukraine Attacks Fuel Depot Miles Inside of Russia—or Did It?).

The tank farms that are on fire would support ongoing Russian “special operations” in Eastern Ukraine.

One tank farm catching fire is careless; two flaming up is rather extravagant. Two tank farms, geographically separated, going Zippo on the same night pushes the laws of probabilities.

If the early stories of the fire/explosion affecting an oil pipeline to Germany, all of this just got a lot more interesting.