First NYT/Siena, Now Even More Polling That's Going to Make the Harris Team Lose Their Minds

We now have a good idea why Vice President Kamala Harris is looking for another presidential debate. I mentioned the internal polling in an earlier post.

Now, there's new polling out that shows why they're starting to freak out. My colleague Bonchie wrote about the NYT/Siena poll earlier. It has Trump up by 5 points in Arizona, 4 in Georgia, and 2 in North Carolina.

🇺🇲 2024 GE: NYT/@SienaResearch

ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 50% (+5)
🟦 Harris: 45%

Last poll (8/15) - 🔵 Harris +5
——
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 49% (+2)
🟦 Harris: 47%

Last poll - 🔵 Harris +2
——
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 49% (+4)
🟦 Harris: 45%

Last poll - 🔴 Trump +4
——
#1 (3.0/3.0) |… pic.twitter.com/oItjnaKpFJ
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 23, 2024

That's a 10-point swing to Trump in Arizona from August. They had Harris up in North Carolina, which was probably wrong, in August. This number is likely much more accurate there. And Trump's holding a similar lead, up 4 points in Georgia.

Dems Quietly Freaking Out Behind Closed Doors,
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Cope Flows Like Milk and Honey After Trump Sees Huge Gains
in Three Key Battleground States

That's bad enough for Harris. But what about the other battleground states?

Now, there's also the Emerson College poll that's likely to make the Harris team tear their hair out.

Emerson has Trump up in Georgia 50 to 47 percent, Arizona 49 to 48 percent, Wisconsin 49 to 48 percent, and Pennsylvania 48 to 47 percent. Nevada is tied at 48 percent. Harris is ahead 49 to 48 percent in North Carolina and 49 to 47 percent in Michigan.

NEW: Emerson College/The Hill poll finds Trump with edge in most swing states, but race remains tight

GA:
Trump 50
Harris 47

AZ:
Trump 49
Harris 48

WI:
Trump 49
Harris 48

PA:
Trump 48
Harris 47

NV:
Trump 48
Harris 48

NC
Trump 49
Harris 48

MI
Trump 47
Harris 49

9/15-9/18
— Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) September 23, 2024

It should be noted the tweet has the NC numbers reflected incorrectly, they're reversed.

I'm inclined to think Trump is in a better position in North Carolina than Wisconsin, so I'm not sure I would agree with them there, but either way, if that holds, Trump wins, even if Harris ultimately won Nevada, which is tied in that poll. But as we can see from the Teamsters' vote, there's likely a lot of support for Trump in the Rust Belt.

That's not all on the positive side. I wrote about how Virginia is also surprisingly neck and neck, which they probably didn't anticipate, and that's in multiple polls, with Gov. Glenn Youngkin saying it's definitely in play.

Latest Shock Poll Out of Virginia Is Going to Freak Out the Harris Team

First There Was the Teamsters Poll, Now There Are Even More Union Members for Trump

Then there's this news about Arizona Latinos from that NYT/Siena poll that even CNN noted and should be a big warning sign to the Kamala campaign: Trump is now up 5 points there, and one would have to think that Latino swing plays a big part in that and that the border is also factoring in there.