We reported earlier about a hot mic moment with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) briefing Joe Biden on the midterms in a revealing moment. He thought that the Democrats hadn’t lost too much in the disastrous Senate debate in Pennsylvania. I’m not sure which polls he’s looking at there, but as we noted, Oz is now ahead of Fetterman in that race, with maybe not even all the reaction for the debate in yet. Maybe Schumer is just glad Fetterman has any support at all, after how bad his debate was. But it looks like they’re going to lose in Pennsylvania.
But, what was intriguing was Schumer’s take on the Senate race in Georgia.
π¨Schumer to Biden: "The state where we're going downhill is Georgia. It's hard to believe that they will go for Herschel Walker." pic.twitter.com/m5ELvQAUYO
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) October 27, 2022
“The state where we’re going downhill is Georgia. It’s hard to believe that they will go for Herschel Walker,” Schumer said.
Now, one would think Schumer is looking at internal polls. Given the effort that they have been making to take out Walker in that race if we take Chuck at his word, it sounds like they know they’re in deep trouble there.
But Schumer isn’t the only evidence of this. Now, there’s a new poll from Rasmussen that has Walker up by a fairly substantial number — 5 points.
According to Rasmussen Reports, Walker is up in their latest poll, 48 percent to Sen. Raphael Warnock at 43 percent. Four percent said they want other people, and four percent are undecided.
πππ ππππ: Herschel Walker holds π πππππ lead over Raphael Warnock in Georgia Senate Race
(R) Herschel Walker 48% (+5)
(D) Raphael Warnock 43%β¦Ώ @Rasmussen_Poll
β¦Ώ 1,053 LV | 10/23-24 | MoE Β±3%https://t.co/ruIMmkEMnz pic.twitter.com/rwcgHOxmmO— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 27, 2022
That’s with over a thousand people surveyed, and beyond the margin of error. So, that’s looking pretty good for Walker, when his race has perhaps been one of the most competitive, with Democrats throwing all kinds of things at him. But if this poll is accurate, it would suggest that the abortion stories aren’t having the effect that Democrats would like.
If no one gets over 50 percent in the race in Georgia, there would be a run-off. But, if the Rasmussen poll is accurate, Walker only needs half of the undecideds to get to 50 percent; Warnock would still need to find votes from somewhere, even if he got all of the undecideds.
It looks like Walker holds the advantage with the independents as well, in the poll.
Walkerβs lead is mainly due to his 14-point margin among independent voters. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Georgia Republican voters would vote for Walker and 81% of Democrats would vote for Warnock, while among voters not affiliated with either major party, Walker leads 49% to 35%.
The poll also has a couple of other indications that may help Walker. Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp is up in his race against Stacey Abrams by 10 points, 51 to 41 percent. The poll also shows that the if the voters could vote for president now, 47 percent would vote for President Donald Trump and 39 percent for Joe Biden, which would have to be considered a blowout.
Walker currently leads by an average of 0.6 percent across all major polls, according to RealClearPolitics. Daily Wire/Trafalgar has Walker up by 2 points and another poll not in the RCP assessment — the co-efficient polling group poll — has Walker up by 3 points with a D+2 sample (so it’s probably higher). While Rasmussen may be a little higher, it’s still in line with the other polls showing Walker is up.
It’s increasingly looking like Republicans are going to hold the seats they need to hold, and may pick up Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. They might even have a chance now in New Hampshire, which would be astonishing.
No wonder Schumer is having a bit of a meltdown.
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