There's been a lot of bluffing by Iran over the last few weeks during the tenuous "ceasefire," and it looks like the United States has finally called it.
As RedState reported, the U.S. Navy successfully escorted multiple American-flagged vessels through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. Now, CENTCOM is confirming that hostilities have already resumed. According to Kassy Akiva, who attended a press briefing with Admiral Brad Cooper, six Iranian boats were destroyed. What's left of the regime also tried to launch missiles at U.S. Naval ships, but they were successfully intercepted.
Related: CENTCOM Announces First Ships Freed From Strait
He says 6 Iranian small boats were eliminated this morning.
— Kassy Akiva (@KassyAkiva) May 4, 2026
That follows news that Iran is launching barrages of missiles and drones at the United Arab Emirates. A major oil facility was hit, prompting a pledge of direct revenge from the Emiratis. There are also claims that residential districts in Oman were hit. Iran's most recent aggression appears to have been enough to end whatever was left of the ceasefire. CNN, via sources in Dubai, is reporting that strikes on the regime are expected to resume within the next 24 hours.
An Emirati official told CNN: They expect an American or Israeli strike on Iran within the next 24 hours.
— Amit Segal (@AmitSegal) May 4, 2026
While President Donald Trump clearly wanted to get a deal done, you can't make a deal with someone who doesn't want to make a deal. The Iranians have been stalling, essentially demanding a wholesale victory, hoping that the United States loses its stomach for renewing hostilities. It's not certain yet, but it looks like that was a miscalculation. With two carrier groups in the Gulf and weeks to resupply, the U.S. military response is likely to be large-scale and devastating for the Iranians, and it appears the UAE is ready to join the fight as well.
The window for Iran to prevent what is coming is small. They need to get to the table right now with something viable, and I don't see that happening. Islamists are hardwired not to back down to threats, no matter how devastating the results. That also makes it very unlikely that economic costs will topple the regime, which has surrounded itself with radical, mostly foreign-sourced militias. That means if this thing pops off again, Trump is going to have to go all the way. I still don't think that means ground troops, but it will mean not holding back on the target list this time, including all the regime officials who have been mouthing off for the last month.
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