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New: Germany's AfD Declares Climate Scenarios Greatest Fraud in Human History

Frank Rumpenhorst/dpa via AP

Germany is a country with a storied history. They managed to hold off the would-be conquerors of Rome, thanks to a German hero named Arminius. They were once a series of small countries, linked by a common language and culture, until the country was united under Wilhelm I, King of Prussia, who became the first German Kaiser of the German Empire. They are a people with a great martial history; from their 1871 unification until the end of the Great War, they had one of Europe's largest, best-equipped armies and one of the best officer corps. Of course, there was a rather major downturn that ended in 1945, but then, after the war, in time Germany reunified, and started becoming one of Europe's economic powers.

Then, two things changed: The German parliament, the Bundestag, went all in for climate panic and "alternative" energy, and also started allowing in unchecked, largely unscreened waves of Third World immigration.

For the last few years, the growing pushback to all this has been the Alternative für Deutschland (Alternative for Germany, or AfD) party. Described in Europe as far-right, they would be closer to center-right in the United States, and one of their primary platform planks has been to bring Germany back to a solid footing on energy - and to put paid to the endless climate-panic mongering of the European left. What's more, they are asking for an open debate on the matter, in the Bundestag.

Germany’s No. 1 party – conservative AfD Party – calls for tangible consequences for politics, the media, and the judiciary after extreme emission scenario “RCP 8.5 is no longer scientifically serious and will no longer be used.

The Germany-based European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) reports that on May 20, 2026, the AfD requested a topical debate (Aktuelle Stunde) in the Bundestag.

The background for the debate was the decision within the scientific IPCC/CMIP7 framework to no longer use the extreme emission scenario “RCP 8.5” (or SSP5-8.5) as a plausible worst-case scenario.

AfD climate spokesperson Karsten Hilse described the scenario as an implausible “horror scenario” and “the greatest fraud in human history”, arguing that it had been used for years to generate panic and justify expensive climate measures, and had even influenced the Federal Constitutional Court’s draconian 2021 climate ruling.

Germany's other political parties aren't sanguine about the notion.

The other political parties (Union, SPD, Greens, Left) rejected the criticism. They argued that the extreme scenario had become unrealistic precisely because of the success of climate protection and renewable energies! Therefore, the AfD Party (the true conservatives) in Germany there is no need to change policy, especially since other scenarios with significant warming (up to approximately 3–3.5 °C) remain in place.

EIKE, however, vehemently contradicts the reasoning of the mainstream parties. Citing data from the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy 2025, EIKE argues that the global contribution of wind (1.5%) and solar (1.3%) to the primary energy demand in 2024 totaled just around 2.8%.

That's not a significant contribution to demand. And those sources, again, are intermittent, low-density, expensive, and unreliable. 


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Here's the real problem: Until 2000, Germany depended in large part on nuclear power, which is everything solar and wind power are not: Reliable, constant, high-density. But starting in the early Oughts, Germany, under a policy called Atomausstieg, started shutting down the reactors. These reactors included units in Stade, shut down in 2003, Obrigheim, shut down in 2005, with more following; 8 were shut down immediately following the Fukushima incident in Japan in 2011, and the remainder have mostly been closed since; a goal of 33 reactors are now closed, with that number including some prototype and research units. Most of these were units that were producing around a quarter of Germany's total electrical generation capacity. And, especially according to Germany's Green Party, a large part of the motivation for this was the intended change to "alternative" or green energy.

That's what the AfD wants to reverse. Furthermore, their message seems to be resonating with the German people.

Support for AfD, the far-right Alternative for Germany party, has soared to 18% in recent polls. The boost to the opposition party’s standing can be attributed to its campaign against the climate policies of the Green Party, a key member of the country’s ruling coalition government, plus its insistence that the federal government’s key policies represent a threat to national peace and prosperity, DW reports.

The far-right party continues to take serious issue with most aspects of current government policy. For example, it argues that the government should stress peace negotiations, not armaments’ deliveries with regard to the war in Ukraine. It also calls for tighter immigration controls at the nation’s borders rather than measures designed to recruit skilled workers.

None of these are radical notions in the United States: Reliable energy, immigration controls, a reduction in importing skilled workers. And energy may be what's putting them over the top.

Overall, the populist far-right party’s manifest opposition to the government’s energy and climate policy seems to be paying off, with support for AfD now registering 18%, according to national polls carried out by INSA and Infraset Dimap just this week. This latest showing puts them several points ahead of the Greens.

The current government comprises a coalition of the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), the neo-liberal Free Democrats (FDP), and the environmentalist Greens.

Could the AfD drag Germany back from the brink, not just on energy, but on unchecked Third World immigration? The sad fact is that the AfD may well have arrived on the scene too late. As of this writing, only about 70 percent of Germany's citizens are ethnic Germans. The Total Fertility Rate of German citizens is around 1.2 as of 2024, which is far below replacement. The German people are committing cultural and ethnic suicide, and the AfD seems to be the only party that realizes just how dire things are. 

Worst of all, when it comes to issues like climate panic-mongering, most of the German Bundestag seems disinterested in even having a debate about it.

These two issues, climate scoldery and unchecked Third World immigration, have already done Germany tremendous harm. And it may be too late to turn it around now.

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