I didn't have "Tsar Vladimir I calls President Trump to say 'Happy Birthday'" on my bingo card for today, and I'll bet nobody else did, either. But that's what happened, sure as cowflops. But there was a more serious conversation on the table as well; the two leaders spoke about Iran and Israel, as President Trump described on his TruthSocial platform.

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— Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) June 14, 2025

The president wrote:

President Putin called this morning to very nicely wish me a Happy Birthday, but to more importantly, talk about Iran, a country he knows very well. We talked at length. Much less time was spent talking about Russia/Ukraine, but that will be for next week. He is doing the planned prisoner swaps - large numbers of prisoners are being exchanged, immediately, from both sides. The call lasted approximately 1 hour. He feels, as do I, this war in Israel-Iran should end, to which I explained, his war should also end.

Now, what might come of all this?

It's something of an understatement to note that Iran is a country that Putin "knows very well." Much of Iran's post-Shah military hardware comes from the Soviet Union, later Russia. The Soviets, and now the Russians, seem to be prone to a "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" modus operandi, without bothering them too much over the fact that one can no longer befriend a regime like Iran than any other venomous reptile.

And, if all this about the prisoner exchange is accurate, and Tsar Vladimir I follows through, then there's some movement in ending the Russo-Ukraine war; agreeing to a prisoner swap isn't exactly Putin ordering the Russian army to throw down their weapons and give the Ukrainians all big bear hugs, but at least it's a step in the right direction - and may be an indication that Putin is under some pressure to wrap this thing up, already.

But as for Iran, well, that's another story.

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Russia may have a little more influence over Iran than the United States, but it's probably not all that much more. Given the chance, Iran would turn and bite Russia just as soon as an opportunity presents itself; the mullahs have long memories, and no doubt remember that their co-religionists in the old Soviet days were treated pretty roughly. From the deportation of Muslim Tatars in 1944 to the deportation and repression of the Chechens, the Ingush, the Balkars, and the Karachays, there was a great loss of life.

But his telling the American president that he thinks the Iran-Israel war should end, and doing anything to facilitate such an end... well, there's a big, big gap between the two.

As the saying goes, talk, talk is better than war, war. But for Russia and Iran, talk is too often just that, and is also too often used as a way to gain a little time, to turn the situation to their advantage, or to prepare another attack. And, honestly, Iran can't be trusted any farther than a six-year-old can throw a grand piano. I'm pretty sure Tsar Vladimir I knows this. I sure hope President Trump knows it as well.

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