Lauren Boebert's Electoral Woes Increasing Apace

In January of 2025, Colorado Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) may well be looking into opening another gun-packing restaurant because it's looking a lot like she won't be in the U.S. House of Representatives anymore. Not only are her "Beetlejuice" shenanigans continuing to haunt her, but her attempt to do a lateral arabesque from Colorado's 3rd District to Colorado's 4th District isn't going well. A recent (and tiny) straw poll in Ft. Lupton has her well back in the pack, and she faces some serious competition in District 4, which encompasses much of the deeply conservative northeastern Colorado plains country.

Boebert, a Colorado Republican who is one of the more staunchly pro-Trump members of the House GOP caucus, announced in December that she would be running for reelection to the U.S. House of Representatives in Colorado's 4th Congressional District instead of the 3rd District where she has held office since 2021.
Despite her defending the move by saying it's the "right decision for those who support our conservative movement," it has been widely viewed as an attempt to avoid lower reelection odds in the 3rd District where she's facing a notable primary challenge from Republican Jeff Hurd and an even more fraught general election challenge from Democrat Adam Frisch.
In addition, Boebert was recorded as the fifth most popular candidate in a straw poll taken after a debate in Fort Lupton, which is in Colorado's 8th Congressional District, on January 25. The straw poll taken of 100 Republican voters saw Boebert pick up just 12 votes, behind Logan County Commissioner and former state Senator Jerry Sonnenberg, who topped the poll with 22 votes.

It's been a while since I was involved in Colorado politics, but I remember the 4th as being not only deeply conservative but also tightly knit; I can't imagine a politician suddenly parachuting in to take advantage of a seat opened by a retirement (Republican Ken Buck is not seeking re-election) will fare well; she is likely to be tagged with the epithet "carpet-bagger."

Especially when her reason for running in the 4th is transparent, namely because she is facing an uphill battle to retain her seat in District 3.

NEW: Lauren Boebert Calls It Quits in Her Colorado District

Look, I like Lauren Boebert. She brought a much-needed irreverence and even rebelliousness to the House of Representatives. She said what she thought; she unapologetically packed a pistol around the District of Columbia; in fact, she just plain pissed off all the right people, and for that alone, I would have voted for her had I lived in Colorado's District 3, and I'd vote for her again were I in a position to do so.

Lauren Boebert could, however, do with a little more self-discipline — the "Beetlejuice" bit mentioned above, for example. She's not only a conservative public figure that the legacy media would love to take down, but she's a sitting member of the United States House of Representatives and should have known better than to get drawn into a pubic make-out session.

We'll see what happens. It's still a long way until November. I'd sure like to see Lauren Boebert stay in Congress, if for no other reason than that she makes liberal heads explode. But at the moment, it isn't looking too good for her.