Democrats are in big trouble when it comes to their efforts to hold onto the Senate. 

Right now, it looks like Rep. Tim Sheehy (R-MT) is likely to beat Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT). Then the race has also closed in Ohio with Bernie Moreno going up in some of the recent polls over Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH). The race in Pennsylvania between Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) and Dave McCormick (R) is also getting tighter, as my colleague Sister Toldjah reported. 

The momentum appears to be going in the right direction. 

READ MORE: Are Democrats Calling It Quits on Sherrod Brown and the Ohio Senate Race?

A Doggedly Determined Dave McCormick Closes Gap in Senate Race Against Bob Casey

Now, it's the race in Wisconsin between Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) and Eric Hovde (R) that Democrats are panicking over, according to Axios.

There is growing Democratic fear over how quickly the Wisconsin Senate race is tightening, with party insiders worried they could shockingly lose the critical contest, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: Sen. Tammy Baldwin's (D-Wis.) lead in both public and internal polls has deteriorated, and Republicans are flooding the state with cash to pull off the upset.

• Baldwin leads by just two points in internal Democratic polling, a source familiar with the campaign told Axios. That is much closer than what public polling has shown for months.
• Democrats are on pace to be outspent by Republicans in the state every week until Election Day, with an infusion of around $20 million from GOP sources.

That should have been a relatively safe seat, but not so much anymore. 

Multiple Democratic sources told Axios there are "alarm bells" ringing in the state, arguing the race is much tighter than what public polling has shown.

A Democratic strategist particularly pooh-poohed a recent Marquette poll that had Baldwin up by seven points, saying it was much closer than that. Other public polls also have it closer. Trafalgar and Cook Political have her ahead at two points; Atlas Intel has her ahead only by one point. That's a broad stretch between one point and seven, so we'll have to see how it continues to break down.  

Baldwin also didn't go to the Harris event in Wisconsin on Thursday, which was an interesting move. That was the event where Harris hilariously praised Liz and Dick Cheney, despite what the left had said about Dick Cheney in the past.

Baldwin also did not attend Harris rally with Cheney in Wisconsin last night. https://t.co/OxX872MZTK

— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) October 4, 2024

Was that an avoidance of Harris in the stretch? If it was, I don't think that's going to work with the people in Wisconsin. Republicans also see that it's winnable and are going to be pouring in a lot of money between now and Election Day. 

If Baldwin loses, Harris is likely to lose in Wisconsin as well. If Baldwin loses, it's likely their hope of holding onto the Senate is doomed as well, given the momentum in the other tight Senate races. 

READ MORE: New Swing State Polling Data and Important Data Point to Big Trouble for Harris

Hilarious: Kamala Praises Liz and Dick Cheney As Liz Comes Out
to Campaign for Her in Wisconsin