President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, Thursday, April 9, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
This is the 24th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.
Chart One’s data table shows Total Infections, Total Fatalities, and the Mortality Rate. The upper graph, shows the number of NEW infections by date. As more test materials have made into the field and been put to good use, trend lines are becoming more clear, even if at times, counterintuitive. Today’s number of new infections is 33,314, which is 325 fewer than yesterday. The curve in new infections is still moving in the right direction.
The lower graph shows new U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 2009 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 18,699. This was supposedly 110 more than yesterday. I will state here and now, these fatality numbers are bogus, driven by improper definitions allowed by the Federal government. More on this further down.
The second chart shows the U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) remains well over 3%.
This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:
M/R = 3.73%
+1 = 1.86%
+2 = 1.24%
+3 = 0.93%
Note: It is obvious given the irrational relationships between the trendlines, the Federal government’s very loose definition of what constitutes a “Wuhan Virus Fatality,” is skewing the data. This is going to cause American workers to pay a terrible price going forward.
The Red State Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.
Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.
Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.
The below two slides show some radical jumps in fatalities in certain locales that cannot be supported by other reasons than by “gaming the system.”
Today’s Numbers (RED COLUMN)
Yesterday’s Numbers (RED COLUMN)