Polls We Didn't Get to Today (Nov. 3)

Clinton-Trump-Poll

Today Patterico covered the CBS/New York Times poll.

Here are the polls we didn’t cover.

STATE POLLS

Arizona: One Poll Shows Trump +5, Another +4

  • A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 49%-44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Jill Stein at 1%.
  • An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 29-31, shows Trump leading Clinton 47%-43%, with Johnson at 2% and Stein at 2%.

Colorado: One Poll Shows Clinton +3, Another Has Race Tied

  • An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 44%-41%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 8% and Green Jill Stein at 4%.
  • A University of Denver poll taken Oct. 29-31, shows Clinton and Trump tied at 39%, with Johnson at 5% and Stein at 4%.

Florida: One Poll Shows Clinton +2, Another +1

  • A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 49%-47%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3% and Green Jill Stein at 1%. In a similar poll taken in early September, Trump led Clinton 47%-44%.
  • A Quinnipiac University poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Clinton leading Trump 46%-45%, with Johnson at 2% and Stein at 2%. In a similar poll taken in mid-October, Clinton led Trump 48%-44%.

Georgia: An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 29-31, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 51%-42%, with Green Jill Stein at 3% and Libertarian Gary Johnson at 2%.

Michigan: A Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research tracking poll taken Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 47%-44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 3%.

Missouri: Three Polls Show Trump With Double-Digit Lead

  • An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 52%-37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.
  • A Public Policy Polling poll taken Nov. 1-2, shows Trump leading Clinton 50%-37%, with Johnson at 4% and Stein at 2%.
  • The Missouri Times reports that a Remington Research (R) poll taken Oct. 31-Nov. 1, shows Trump leading Clinton 51%-39%, with Johnson at 4%, independent Darrell Castle at 1%, and Stein at 1%.

Nevada: One Poll Shows Trump +6, Another Has Race Tied

  • A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 49%-43%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5%.
  • KLAS-TV reported that a JMC Analytics and Polling survey taken Oct. 28-Nov. 1, shows Clinton and Trump tied at 45%, with Johnson at 4%.

North Carolina: A Quinnipiac University poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 47%-44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3%.

Ohio: A Quinnipiac University poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Donald Trump Leading Hillary Clinton 46%-41%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Jill Stein at 2%. In a similar poll taken in mid-October, Clinton and Trump were tied at 45%.

Oregon: KPTV-TV reports that a Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll taken Oct. 25-Oct. 29, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 41%-34%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

Pennsylvania: Four Polls Show Clinton Leads Ranging From +5 To +2

  • A Quinnipiac University poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 48%-43%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3% and Green Jill Stein at 3%. In a similar poll taken in mid-October, Clinton and Trump were tied at 45%.
  • A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Clinton leading Trump 48%-44%, with Johnson at 4% and Stein at 2%.
  • A Monmouth University poll taken Oct. 29-Nov. 1, shows Clinton leading Trump 48%-44%, with Johnson at 3% and Stein at 1%.
  • A Susquehanna Polling and Research poll taken Oct. 31-Nov. 1, shows Clinton leading Trump 45%-43%, with Johnson at 2% and Stein at 2%.

Virginia: One Poll Shows Clinton +5, Another Has Trump +3

  • A Winthrop University poll taken Oct. 23-30, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 44%-39%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.
  • A Hampton University poll taken Oct. 26-30, shows Trump leading Clinton 44%-41%; 15% were undecided. The polling memo doesn’t specify whether it tested a head-to-head match or if third-party candidates were included. In a similar poll taken “one month ago,” Clinton led Trump 46%-34%.

Wisconsin: A Marquette University Law School poll taken Oct. 26-31, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 46%-40%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 3%.

NATIONAL POLLS

Economist/YouGov national poll taken Oct. 30-Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 46%-43%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

IBD/TIPP national tracking poll taken Oct. 29-Nov. 2, shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

ABC News/Washington Post national tracking poll taken Oct. 29-Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 47%-45%  with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

Rasmussen Reports national tracking poll taken Oct. 30-Nov. 1, shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 44%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 5% and Green Jill Stein at 2%.

Bloomberg Politics reports that a Purple Strategies national poll taken Oct. 28-31, shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 30%-27%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 19% and Green Jill Stein at 8%; 16% were undecided. Bloomberg Politics notes that Mitt Romney “won [Independents] by five percentage points in 2012.”

SENATE POLLS

Arizona:

  • A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Sen. John McCain leading Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick 53%-41%.
  • An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 29-31, shows McCain leading Kirkpatrick 46%-40%.

Colorado:

Florida: A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Sen. Marco Rubio (R) leading Rep. Patrick Murphy (D) 48%-47%.

Georgia: An Emerson College poll taken Oct. 29-31, shows Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) leading businessman Jim Barksdale (D) 48%-40%.

Nevada:

  • A CNN/ORC poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1, shows Rep. Joe Heck (R) leading ex-state Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 49%-46% .
  • KLAS-TV reports that a JMC Analytics and Polling survey taken Oct. 28-Nov. 1, shows Cortez Masto leading Heck 45%-43%.

Pennsylvania:

Wisconsin: A Marquette University Law School poll taken Oct. 26-31, shows ex-Sen. Russ Feingold (D) leading Sen. Ron Johnson 45%-44%. The Wisconsin State Journal reports that Feingold’s one-point lead is “the narrowest margin between the two candidates recorded by the poll during the campaign.”