New Poll On Impact of Hillary's Newly Revealed Emails

By Dan Spencer | 3:30 PM on October 31, 2016

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Hillary Clinton Severe

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll conducted entirely after FBI Director James Comey announced the discovery of new emails that appear to pertain to Hillary Clinton’s use of a private server while serving as Secretary of State, finds Hillary leading Donald Trump 42 percent to 39 percent in a four-way race. According to Politico, “there is not yet evidence that the revelations have drastically altered the contours of the election”:

Thirty-nine percent of voters said the additional review of emails in the Clinton case had no bearing on their vote in November, while 33 percent it made them much less likely to vote for Clinton.

But most of those voters are already aligned against Clinton. Nearly two-thirds of Trump voters, 66 percent, said it makes them much less likely to vote against Clinton.

Among the small pocket of undecided voters remaining, 42 percent said it made them less likely to vote for Clinton, including 30 percent who said it made them much less likely to vote for her. But just as many, 41 percent, said it makes no difference either way.

“It is unlikely that there will be a dramatic shift in the polls before Election Day,” said Morning Consult cofounder and Chief Research Officer Kyle Dropp. “While Friday’s news may be considered an ‘October Surprise,’ it doesn’t seem to be moving the needle as of now.”

The poll also found that 64% said Hillary’s use of a private server instead of government email while she was Secretary of State was unethical, and 55 percent said it was illegal.

There was one finding that most will agree with — 79 percent strongly agree that they wish the election were over.

The new poll was conducted from October 29-30, 2016, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent.

The Morning Consult poll result as to the newly revealed emails is similar to the findings of the Washington Post-ABC News Tracking poll released Saturday. As my colleague Patterico reported here, that poll found that 34 percent would be less likely to vote for Hillary because of the newly revealed email.