The polls in Nevada are coming in hot! Adam Laxalt, the GOP challenger for Senate, is sustaining a lead against the incumbent, vulnerable Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto. Laxalt was previously elected as Nevada Attorney General. Three polls reported Thursday show Laxalt leading the race.
The Insider Advantage Poll has Laxalt up by nearly three points: 45.9 percent to 43 percent. Independent voters preferred Laxalt 55.1 percent to Masto’s 24.2 percent. While Masto continues to lean into her Mexican ancestry and continues to note she is the first Latina in the US Senate, Hispanic voters aren’t biting. Among non-white voters, mostly Latinos in Nevada Laxalt bested Masto again, 55.8 percent of the vote to Masto’s 36.7 percent.
The Trafalgar Group conducted polling from September 17 to 20. Laxalt led by 4 points, 47.1 percent to 43.1 percent.
Data For Progress has Laxalt leading by one point, 47 percent to 46 percent.
Additionally, Emerson College released a poll last week showing Laxalt up by one point, 42 percent to 41 percent.
Over the last week, the last 4 polls show us LEADING @CortezMasto:
Big Data Poll: 46/44
Data for Progress: 47/46
Our momentum to become the 51st Senate seat isn’t slowing down any time soon.
Join our movement at https://t.co/S2kAdmxgZk
— Adam Paul Laxalt (@AdamLaxalt) September 22, 2022
On the left, local writers have covered a 17-person focus group to allege voter unfavorability toward Laxalt. The founder of the anti-gun group Mom’s Demand chose to share this article, which claims that the polling is against Adam Laxalt, on a day when three actual polls came out in his favor.
Polls show US Senate candidate Adam Laxalt is disliked by Nevada voters, and for good reason. He opposes abortion rights and gun safety. That’s why he lost the governor’s race in 2018. Now we need to make sure he loses in 2022.
— Shannon Watts (@shannonrwatts) September 22, 2022
The author of that article, who claims to be an Independent, also sent out a red alert on Twitter because the non-partisan split in polling reporting heavily favored Laxalt by 19 points.
Yeah, this is a red flag. If he is up 19 with indies, he's ahead by nearly double digits overall. https://t.co/9sW1PU3Eln
— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) September 22, 2022
This week, Laxalt called out Senator Masto over President Joe Biden’s anti-police nominee for FCC. Nearly a dozen law enforcement groups that previously backed Masto now support Laxalt.
No matter how you choose to look at it, Laxalt is leading with a steady trajectory. He very well may be the wild card in the contest to flip the US Senate. While Nevada may be a long way from D.C., I wouldn’t suggest counting the state out–or taking your eyes off Adam Laxalt.