For years now, blue states have been bleeding residents heavily. Greater regulation, high taxes, higher cost of living, and crime issues have plagued blue states to the point where everyone from the humble gas station attendant to major corporations would happily get up and relocate.
And for years they’ve always relocated to red states, where the cost of living is lower but the quality is far higher. This left blue states in something of a pickle. With all of these people departing for greener pastures, there were fewer people to pick up the tab that Democrat-controlled states impose on residents. Yet, lowering taxes and making it a bit cheaper to live in these places isn’t something that seems to be crossing their minds.
Meanwhile, red states are watching the failure of Democrat leaders cause constituents to abandon their states in droves and head their way. This has naturally caused a great deal of anxiety among residents who fear that the people who left their blue state will arrive in their new state and begin voting for the same policies that forced them to take the journey in the first place. No other state feels this more than Texas, which has been the number one destination for blue state refugees for years now.
Democrats have been hoping that Texans’ fears will be confirmed and that they’d be so overwhelmed with Democrat voters that the Republican stronghold would eventually give way to a shade of purple or even just go full-on blue.
Will Democrats get their wish? If I’m being honest, it’s not looking good…for Democrats.
Despite years of migration, Texas has only gotten redder. The election of Mayra Flores wasn’t the beginning of a rising red tide, it was another event of blue areas in Texas turning to Republicans. Flores happened after the flip of McAllen County, Starr County, and Zapata County.
But we can also look at a few more clues. For one, Texas Governor Greg Abbott currently leads Democrat challenger Beto O’Rourke by around six to seven points depending on the poll, but that lead only grows to 10 when you ask voters who are sure to vote. Moreover, O’Rourke’s stunts have done little to move the needle in his favor.
(READ: Beto O’Rourke Should See Liz Cheney’s Loss as a Really Bad Sign)
But we can also look outside the state for clues.
Florida is also one of those states that were seeing mass migration from blue-state refugees looking for a better life and judging by school board elections and Republican turnout in the primary, the blue seems to have bled out from the voters, leaving them staunchly red themselves.
Leaving an area with high taxes, high cost of living, high crime, and high leaders and transferring to a place where freedom reigns and the costs are low is probably a shock to the system. It’s probably going to make you question your past beliefs and see things in a whole new light. It seems that this is what’s happening Florida, and judging by the flips, it’s definitely happening in Texas.
If I was a Texas Democrat, I’d get the creeping feeling that I’m probably not as wanted as my bubble has been telling me, and that the chances of me winning an election are getting lower and lower. As usual, time will tell, but all the clues point to a Republican sweep and then some.
This doesn’t mean Democrats are going to just give up Texas without a fight. A lot of money is flowing to O’Rourke’s campaign from very wealthy out-of-state donors who would love to see nothing more than to have Texas’s scalp in their trophy case. All it would take to defeat them is for Texans both old and new to get out and vote to keep the failures of the left at bay.
