New Swing State Polling Is Catastrophic for Biden, and the Left-Wing Counter Is Incredible

By Bonchie | 9:45 AM on May 23, 2024

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After getting smoked by the polls in 2022, I try to limit how much stock I put into them. With that said, it's impossible to ignore the continuous avalanche of bad news on that front for Joe Biden, and that's especially true when you consider all the swing state polling.

On Thursday, Cook Political released its long-awaited first look at the states that will decide the election. To put it lightly, the results are catastrophic for Biden.

📊 Swing States Polling: Cook Political/GS Strategy Group (D)/BSG (R)

NEVADA
🟥 Trump 49% (+9)
🟦 Biden 40%
.
🟥 Trump 43% (+8)
🟦 Biden 35%
🟨 RFK Jr 10%
—
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 48% (+3)
🟦 Biden 45%
.
🟥 Trump 43% (+3)
🟦 Biden 40%
🟨 RFK Jr 7%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 48%… pic.twitter.com/D0zKUhPSQD
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) May 23, 2024

COOK POLITICAL REPORT: "To be losing by this margin — that is unsustainable at this point for an incumbent." pic.twitter.com/nOjE2qBgE2
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) May 23, 2024

Donald Trump leads the incumbent president in every swing state but Wisconsin, where the survey found the two men tied. Further, the inclusion of Robert Kennedy Jr. in the mix does nothing to help Biden. Perhaps the most shocking result is Trump being up so much in Nevada. That's a state a Republican presidential candidate hasn't won since 2004.

This poll isn't an outlier either. Four of the last six polls taken in Nevada show Trump leading outside the margin of error, with the other two showing Trump up one and tied. How durable that lead will be once the Democrat machine in Clark County gets involved, I can't say, but clearly, a major political shift has occurred.

At least as of today, Trump is not pinning his hopes on a narrow path. The map has expanded to the point where he doesn't have to win every swing state, and that's horrible news for the current administration.

So what's the big plan to change Biden's fortunes? Telling Americans they are stupid, of course.

56% of Americans think the U.S. is currently in a recession — and that Biden is responsible for a worsening economy.

There is no recession. And the economy is in good shape. https://t.co/R05TWVn8I4
— Axios (@axios) May 23, 2024

As I explained to Brian Stelter on Wednesday, most voters have no interest in technical economic definitions when they can't afford groceries due to inflation and home ownership is a pipedream because of high interest rates.

Pro-tip: No one cares about technical economic definitions when they see prices 20% higher than two years ago and can’t afford a mortgage because of interest rates.

That’s Biden’s problem. https://t.co/brQ22tfLiT
— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) May 22, 2024

You'd think Democrats and their press allies would try to shift their messaging. Instead, they seem content on continuing to beat their heads against the wall by continuing to lecture voters on how great the economy supposedly is. It's a strategy, I guess. Let's see how it works out for them.