Ronald Reagan once said, "Republicans believe every day is the Fourth of July, but the Democrats believe every day is April 15." True, but if Reagan were still around, he might say that Republicans can't wait for 2024, but Democrats wish it were 2020 again. The particulars can be debated, but Democrats put a lot into getting Joe Biden elected in 2020. He was going to be the grown-up in the room, the "anti-Trump," ridding the world of mean tweets, and don't forget, a uniter. Fast forward four years. Yes, there are a few less mean tweets — mission accomplished. So, why don't the Democrats seem more excited to get on board and reelect Joe Biden for four more years of fewer mean tweets?
Well said. The Biden campaign has declared me, a fellow American, as their enemy because I’m in the half of the country that will never support his anti-American ideology. This strategy is a failing effort. We Americans will defeat him. https://t.co/bOvV5duErU
— Col. Rob Maness ret. 🇺🇸 (@RobManess) January 7, 2024
As the 2024 election season gets into high gear, the feeling among Republican voters, especially Trump supporters, is that they are ready to camp out now in front of their respective polling places like Apple geeks waiting for the new iPhone. But for Democrats, not so much. In 2020, all of the necessary voting blocs were there: blacks, Hispanics, young people, and those elusive "white suburban women" who the media assured us had soured on Donald Trump. In 2024, however, that is changing, and it could put Joe Biden in a world of hurt.
A recent USA Today/Suffolk University poll showed that Republicans appear much more enthusiastic about Election Day 2024 than their Democrat counterparts. On a scale of one to ten, 44 percent of Republican voters said they were at a 10, which was "very enthusiastic" about voting for Trump. Democrats who said they were at a 10 about voting for Joe Biden came in at just 18 percent. Almost half of Democrat primary voters were at a six or below. When it comes to being satisfied with their party's presumptive nominees, an AP-NORC poll showed a majority of Republicans, 65 percent, were happy with Trump as their nominee. Again, not so much with Democrats; 49 percent said they were happy with Joe Biden. Those numbers may not be a surprise, but it is the people who swept Joe Biden into the White House in 2020 that the Biden campaign needs to worry about. The Democrat Party's most reliable voting bloc, African Americans, are now supporting Biden by a margin of 63 percent. In 2020, Biden garnered 87 percent of the black vote, a pretty serious drop. Biden has lost Hispanic voters by five points, and for those under 35, Trump is in the lead 37 to 33 percent.
Joe Biden’s campaign strategy…
— cagrown5 (@cagrown5) January 7, 2024
“To the millions of invaders MY administration allowed in… Vote for me… if you don’t & Trump wins, he will deport you”.
If Joe Biden is going to be reelected, how do Democrats win those voters back? Well, we may have already gotten a healthy dose of the 2024 Biden campaign strategy. That strategy, "Trump is evil." Recently, in Pennsylvania, while speaking about the third anniversary of the January 6 Capitol riot, Biden trotted out the old "Trump is a threat to democracy." On Monday, Biden spoke at the Mother Emanuel African Methodist Episcopal (AME) Church in Charleston, South Carolina, the site of a horrific racially motivated shooting in 2015. He told church members that Trump and MAGA Republicans were attempting to "erase history." Yep, you guessed it, the tried and true "Republicans are racist, sexist, bigoted homophobes."
But will dusting off the old playbook work in 2024? In all fairness, it worked in 2020, but Joe had plenty of help. In addition to the normal mainstream media cheerleaders, there was also the COVID pandemic, which allowed for questionable activities like mail-in ballots and ballot drop boxes. There is no pandemic in 2024, at least not yet, and many states have changed their laws regarding absentee and mail-in voting, and some have outlawed ballot drop boxes. But the biggest difference? Joe Biden now has a record, and it is an atrocious one. Record high inflation, soaring crime rates, an invasion at the southern border, and no respect abroad. It puts Joe Biden in the position of having to tell all blacks, Hispanics, young people, and everyone else who voted against Trump by voting for him that it is still better to vote for him than Trump in 2024 because, well, Trump is evil. It could be a very tall order.
Here is what the Trump people need to pay attention to. A November NBC poll showed that 31 percent said a vote for Joe Biden would be for him, and 63 percent said their vote would be more against Trump. How do they fix that? For starters, remind people of Trump's record and compare it to Biden's record, the one they are living now.
Joe Biden and the Democrats are banking on Trump's legal issues being a distraction, combined with "Trump is evil" to be a winning strategy in 2024. For Americans, choosing between things like buying groceries or paying the electric bill might be the bigger distraction.
President Trump is running to—once again—secure the border, end inflation, and restore America's strength to deter our enemies.
— Tom Cotton (@TomCottonAR) January 4, 2024
Joe Biden is running to yell about January 6th.
Who is going to make your life better?
