Developments are still coming hot and heavy in the Middle East, and the new Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between the United States and Iran is anything but certain. For a while, it looked like the whole deal might come apart; a key tenet of the MOU wasn't just a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, but also between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The initial problem appears to be that nobody thought to inform Hezbollah of the deal.
From @KellieMeyerNews on VP trip to Switzerland being canceled:
— Katie Pavlich (@KatiePavlich) June 19, 2026
“As the Vice President said at his press conference, the plans for the upcoming technical talks have not been finalized, and the U.S. delegation has been prepared to depart at the first available opportunity. But…
The post reads:
From @KellieMeyerNews on VP trip to Switzerland being canceled:
“As the Vice President said at his press conference, the plans for the upcoming technical talks have not been finalized, and the U.S. delegation has been prepared to depart at the first available opportunity. But the logistics of these negotiations have never been simple or predictable. As of now the Vice President is not departing tonight. We will let you know as soon as we have a concrete update about next steps.” -WH spox
That would appear to be because Hezbollah and Israel are once more snapping at each other. Or, at least, they were.
BREAKING: Israel and Hezbollah agree to renew ceasefire after fighting postpones Iran-U.S. talks in Switzerland, three officials say. https://t.co/dLRMLF0j3k
— The Associated Press (@AP) June 19, 2026
Hezbollah is a proxy of Iran; they are funded by Iran, they are equipped by Iran, they are trained by Iran.
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Bear in mind that this isn't the most stable part of the world, and this peace deal would seem to depend on the least stable of all the parties involved: Hezbollah. All it would take to scotch the entire deal at this point is for a couple of Hezbollah goons defying the ceasefire, acting on their own, launching a few rockets at Israel, and then it's slash and snap time at the zoo again. The deal, at that point, would likely be off. That's the problem with negotiating deals with barbarians.
For now, Hezbollah and Israel have agreed to a cease-fire. But the question is, will that last? It might not; if the whole thing comes apart, it may be because Hezbollah sees its funding, training, equipment, and general support from Iran drying up. Desperate men aren't known for rational acts, and when those desperate men are terrorist savages, what they may see as their best recourse might well be... horrible.
We have a little cause for optimism right now. There is (another) cease-fire deal in place. Much will depend on how long this latest deal lasts - and that depends on the least stable elements in Lebanon. That's not the best position the United States, or Iran, for that matter, could be in for right now.
If Iran is at all serious about this peace deal, they would be getting word to their puppets in Lebanon to stand down, and right the blue blazes now.
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