Though it’s not surprising in the least to see the media and Democrats throwing everything but the kitchen sink at Georgia Republican Herschel Walker as he fights for the right to become the GOP nominee to face Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) in the fall election, it is refreshingly surprising to see that thus far, their campaign appears to be failing.
As we’ve previously reported, Walker has maintained an advantage over Warnock in hypothetical matchups since polling on the potential race first started in March 2021. Only one poll – done by the highly partisan left-wing Public Policy Polling outfit in August 2021 – showed Warnock with a slight lead.
Though previous non-partisan polls showed Walker ahead by between one and three points, a new one from Hill/Emerson College where 1,013 registered voters were surveyed now shows him ahead by four, which is outside their margin of error:
Warnock, who won a special election in 2021 and is now running for a full term, is supported by 45 percent of registered voters in the poll released Wednesday, while Walker is backed by 49 percent of voters.
The Republican’s lead is just outside the survey’s margin of error of 3 percentage points, though 6 percent of voters remain undecided, according to the poll.
Perhaps even more alarming for Warnock was a poll taken by Democrat pollster Blueprint Polling in March (not reflected on the RCP page), which showed Walker up by four, a very troubling sign for the Warnock campaign considering how often partisan pollsters skew results in their favor to create a sense of momentum.
Adding to Warnock’s woes is that President Joe Biden will likely be a drag on his campaign from here on out, as Biden’s approval rating in the state lags at 42% according to that same poll, which matches up with others taken recently.
Keep in mind, too, fresh numbers out from Morning Consult confirm that of all the decisions Joe Biden has made since taking office, the one he made on Title 42 has been his “most unpopular” one to date.
Perhaps because of that, Warnock has laughably taken to portraying himself as a moderate, middle of the road type politician when it comes to illegal immigration and taxes, most recently by criticizing the Biden administration over the decision announced on Friday to allow Title 42, a Trump-era policy implemented at the start of the pandemic to stem the spread of COVID-19 from illegal immigrants, to expire near the end of May.
In response to the news, Warnock stated that “this is not the right time” to allow Title 42 to expire, and suggested that “we need assurances that we have security at the border and that we protect communities on this side of the border,” comments that if one didn’t know better one would assume came from a border state Republican.
All that said, we still have a long way to go between now and midterm Election Day. Assuming Walker does end up being the Republican nominee (he’s currently favored to win the May 24th primary), look for Democrats and the media to pull out all the stops in an effort to halt his momentum. But they better be careful, because in pulling the purported skeletons out of Walker’s closet, the ones on Warnock will resurface as well and this time around, if the buyer’s remorse is strong enough the outcome at the ballot box for him might just be a lot different than it was in January 2020.
As always, stay tuned.