The top Democrats have been flipping out since the debate, seeing their chances to win slipping away and finally being successful in pushing a very reluctant Joe Biden out of the 2024 race.
They were losing in the polls with Biden, which is why they did it. It wasn't because they suddenly realized he was incoherent. It's all about holding onto control. They're all fearful of former President Donald Trump coming in, not because they really think he's a "threat to democracy" but because they fear he might actually start holding people accountable.
So they threw Biden under the bus and now many have endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to take his place. Folks like Barack Obama are still silent on the matter, so it remains to be seen if it will be her. But at the moment, she would have to be called the front-runner for the nomination. No one else has so far stepped into the ring.
But so far, it's incredibly ironic karma that after all that effort, it sounds like Kamala is doing "not really any better" than Biden in the polls, as even MSNBC's Steve Kornacki admitted.
MSDNC: Kamala doesn't fare any better against President Trump than Crooked Joe did β and Democrats' hope to the contrary is "based more on hope than it is on numbers right now."
β RNC Research (@RNCResearch) July 22, 2024
Brutal! pic.twitter.com/EBZftusTAv
Trump is still up, 47 to 46 percent, according to Kornacki.
He said the belief from Democrats that Kamala is going to fare better than Biden in the general election is based more on "hope" than on the numbers. Whoops. That isn't going to make that MSDNC audience happy, prepare for tantrums and ripping their hair out.
The Real Clear Politics average has Trump up over Harris 48.1 to 46.2 percent.
Click to see the full tweet:
β Dr. Nickarama (@nickaramaOG) July 22, 2024
As you can see, in the most recent poll recorded there, the Forbes/Harris X poll, that has Trump up by six points, that's counting the "leans," 53 to 47 percent with registered voters.
πΊπ² 2024 GE: Forbes/@Harris_X_
β InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2024
π₯ Trump: 50%
π¦ Harris: 41%
β¬ Undecided: 9%
---
With leans
π₯ Trump: 53%
π¦ Harris: 47%
Independents: Trump 56-44% (with leans)
β
#161 (1.6/3.0) | July 19-21 | 2,753 RVhttps://t.co/Ahmz2TT2RA pic.twitter.com/ZAfp2T6v63
Notice also that Trump is way up with the independents, 56-44.
With likely voters, Harris does even worse, with leans, it's at 54 to 46 percent, with Trump up by eight.
πΊπ² 2024 GE: Among 2,169 likely voters by @Harris_X_ for @Forbes
β InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2024
π₯ Trump: 52%
π¦ Harris: 42%
β¬ Undecided: 6%
With leans
π₯ Trump: 54%
π¦ Harris: 46%
β
#161 (1.6/3.0) | July 19-21 | 2,169 LVhttps://t.co/aftIVaQhd4 https://t.co/gK9W0GpOYK pic.twitter.com/eQG2zGoD5P
Even the Democrat internal polls earlier in the month aren't good for Harris.
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @ppppolls for Progress Action Fund (Dem)
β InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2024
PENNSYLVANIA
π₯ Trump: 51% (+6)
π¦ Harris: 45%
β
ARIZONA
π₯ Trump: 52% (+8)
π¦ Harris: 44%
β
MICHIGAN
π₯ Trump: 48% (+2)
π¦ Harris: 46%
β
WISCONSIN
π₯ Trump: 49% (+1)
π¦ Harris: 48%
β
#206 (1.4/3.0) | N=2,219 RV | July⦠pic.twitter.com/DYuRcV3Wyg
There was movement in the post-drop-out Morning Consult poll, moving a few points from where Biden was. But Kamala was still down two points to Trump. 47 to 45 percent.
Now, this is all very new and she's not even the nominee yet, so we'll have to see if there's any further movement in the polls if she really becomes the nominee. But right now, it's looking a bit like they booted Biden but Kamala still isn't going to get them there.
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