Cook Political Report Has More Good News for Republicans, Bad for Dems

AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

We’ve seen the beginning of a red wave after the results of the Nov. 2 elections, with the win by Glenn Youngkin and other the seats in Virginia, the surprisingly tight race in New Jersey, and other Republican wins around the country.

Polls from last month indicate a significant move in Congressional support to Republican candidates over Democratic candidates on the head of continuing unhappiness that Americans have over the policies and actions of Joe Biden and the Democrats.

If the election were held today, they would vote for the Republican candidate over the Democratic by 46 percent to 38 percent. Congressional Republicans also have a higher favorability rating than Democrats have now as well, 35 to 29 percent.

That doesn’t bode well for the Democrats. As we saw from the prior NBC poll, Americans are ranking Republicans higher virtually across the board, as more able to deal with all the critical issues.

That’s looking good, come 2022. Will the wave continue into those elections? Given Biden’s unpopularity and very low approval numbers, the chances seem very good for a historic pick-up of seats around the country.

Now there’s more good news for Republicans.

According to Cook Political Report, eight important gubernatorial races just shifted in the direction of the Republicans. Among the states with a shift in the Republican direction? Michigan, with the execrable Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer, queen of the pandemic restriction.

Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Maine, New Mexico, South Carolina, Oregon, and Iowa all moved to the right. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada, three pivotal battleground states, shifted from “Lean Democratic” to “Toss Up.” Each of those states has first-term Democratic incumbents — Govs. Gretchen Whitmer, Tony Evers, and Steve Sisolak, respectively. Whitmer and Evers incurred a lot of ire over their Wuhan coronavirus moves and that may work against them, come the election.

The other states that moved more in the Republican direction were Maine, New Mexico, Oregon, Iowa, and South Carolina. While the first three are still favoring the Democrats, they made positive moves to the right to “likely Democrat” from “solid Democrat” or from “likely Democrat” to “lean Democrat.” Meanwhile, Iowa and South Carolina have gone from likely Republican to solid Republican.

Three races did shift toward Democrats. They moved Georgia from “Leans Republican” to “Toss-up” after Stacey Abrams announced that she would be running. But, on the whole, the moves show the strength of Republicans going forward into the next elections. We may see the continuation of that movement in a huge wave coming.