How Will SCOTUS Abortion Decision Affect Midterms?

AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana

It’s not quite official yet, but it appears the Supreme Court is set to strike down the landmark Roe v. Wade decision according to a draft majority opinion that was leaked to the press. Democrats are all in a tizzy over the development.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) lost her wampum and went full Crazy Horse when discussing the matter with reporters. She wailed about the possibility that more babies’ lives will be saved as a crowd of pro-lifers shouted their disapproval of the lawmaker.

Rep. Cori Bush (R-MO) went full authoritarian, suggesting that Democrats do away with the filibuster, force pro-lifers to fund abortions, and pack the Supreme Court to codify Roe v. Wade into law.

Needless to say, the left is not too happy about the future of abortion in America. In fact, it seems the court’s potential ruling has given Democratic lawmakers something to run on at a time when they have little with which to appeal to the American electorate.

If it turns out that the court overturns Roe v. Wade, Democrats and their comrades in the activist media will be banging the abortion drum all the way into the upcoming congressional elections. They will go full hysterical and try to convince the public that evil Republicans are trying to take control of women’s bodies.

They have already started.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) posted a tweet lashing out at Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) for not supporting the abolition of the filibuster. “We could protect Roe tomorrow, but Sinema refuses to act on the filibuster,” she tweeted. “Until that changes she can take a seat talking about ‘women’s access to health care.”

Former President Barack Obama tweeted a written statement in which he urged pro-abortion folks to “join with the activists who’ve been sounding the alarm on this issue for years – and act” and to “[v]olunteer with them on a campaign.”

Like Rep. Bush, Obama also asked readers to “[j]oin with them to codify Roe into law” and “vote alongside them on or before November 8.”

This is only the beginning. We can expect to see a full-court press from the Democrats over the next four months if the Supreme Court does decide to do away with Roe. But the question is: Will it do them any good?

In a word, no.

Yes, while a potential overturning of Roe v. Wade would be a significant victory for the conservative movement and the GOP, Democrats will be using it to demonize those who don’t support killing babies. However, polling has repeatedly shown that voters are most concerned about the economy, inflation, education, crime, healthcare, and other important issues. Unfortunately for the left, protecting abortion rights does not appear anywhere close to the top ten issues people are most focused on.

Of course, one might argue that people have not listed abortion as a top concern because the overturning of Roe v. Wade always seemed to be a remote possibility. Voters simply didn’t care about the issue because they figured abortion would always be legal in all states. This is certainly possible, but still not likely.

For starters, one must look at the level of passion on both sides of the debate. The pro-abortion crowd believes that women should have the right to decide what to do with their bodies. They believe that women should not be forced to carry a pregnancy to term if they do not wish to be mothers and have painted the debate as a conversation about women’s rights. They are passionate about their beliefs on this matter.

But on the other hand, pro-lifers believe that the abortion issue centers not on the woman’s body, but on the body of the baby growing inside of her. They recognize the “my body my choice” mantra is nothing more than a red herring designed to distract from the fact that an innocent life is being snuffed out when a mother undergoes an abortion.

To put it simply, pro-abortionists believe a right is being violated if mothers are not allowed to kill the babies inside of them. Pro-lifers see that abortion is literally the killing of life. It is easy to see which side is going to be more fervent in their attitudes on the matter. The idea of a child’s life being taken would animate any rational person. This seems to suggest that while those who support Roe v. Wade are not happy about the possible decision, it is not going to take precedence over other issues, which brings me to my next point.

Right now, American voters are worried about their pocketbooks. They are concerned about excessively high gas prices and drastic increases in the price of food. Those living in cities are uneasy about skyrocketing crime rates. Even for those who are pro-abortion, the issue isn’t as important as being able to eat, get to work, and safely walk the streets without having to look over their shoulders.

This is why the abortion issue will not work for Democrats in the midterm elections.

Even people who support abortion aren’t as passionate about the issue as they are about the problems they are facing currently. It is not a kitchen table issue, and as long as these problems persist, it never will be.

On the other hand, the decision might just further galvanize conservative voters by giving them an unexpected win. Every day conservatives might see this as a sign that they need to show up at the polls to make sure Democrats do not maintain power. Right now, the conservative movement has momentum. Let’s hope they can capitalize on it.


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