Here is how things are shaping up — in order.I have prepared the chart below, though truth be told, Club For Growth did all the leg work. I just plugged in websites. I left off the likely D and long shot races to focus on the seriously viable races. There are a lot of them. We only need 39 and there are 37 lean or safe Republican ones already.I’d start at “Toss Up” and work my way down. I’ve bolded the candidates I like a lot this year. Sean Duffy and Tim Griffin remain at the top of that list, but there are some other stellar candidates.Note that I cannot link to Nan Hayworth’s website. She and her husband profit from killing children and her husband has advocated policies designed to shut down Catholic hospitals that will not kill children.Also, although Star Parker is not on the list, I believe she is going to be the surprise of the year.
Rank |
2010 Incumbent |
District |
Nominee |
Rating |
1 |
Melancon |
LA3 |
Safe R |
|
2 |
Gordon |
TN6 |
Safe R |
|
3 |
Snyder |
AR2 |
Likely R |
|
4 |
Ellsworth |
IN8 |
Likely R |
|
5 |
Moore, D. |
KS3 |
Likely R |
|
6 |
Edwards, C. |
TX17 |
Likely R |
|
7 |
Kilroy |
OH15 |
Likely R |
|
8 |
Massa |
NY29 |
Likely R |
|
9 |
Markey |
CO4 |
Likely R |
|
10 |
Halvorson |
IL11 |
Likely R |
|
11 |
Kosmas |
FL24 |
Likely R |
|
12 |
Tanner |
TN8 |
Likely R |
|
13 |
Dahlkemper |
PA3 |
Likely R |
|
14 |
Driehaus |
OH1 |
Lean R |
|
15 |
Kratovil |
MD1 |
Lean R |
|
16 |
Kirkpatrick |
AZ1 |
Lean R |
|
17 |
Perriello |
VA5 |
Lean R |
|
18 |
Nye |
VA2 |
Lean R |
|
19 |
Stupak |
MI1 |
Lean R |
|
20 |
Shea-Porter |
NH1 |
Lean R |
|
21 |
Baird |
WA3 |
Lean R |
|
22 |
Hodes |
NH2 |
Lean R |
|
23 |
Teague |
NM2 |
Lean R |
|
24 |
Grayson |
FL8 |
Lean R |
|
25 |
Kagen |
WI8 |
Lean R |
|
26 |
Kanjorski |
PA11 |
Lean R |
|
27 |
Berry |
AR1 |
Lean R |
|
28 |
Pomeroy |
ND1 |
Lean R |
|
29 |
Obey |
WI7 |
Lean R |
|
30 |
Sestak |
PA7 |
Lean R |
|
31 |
Childers |
MS1 |
Lean R |
|
32 |
Murphy, P. |
PA8 |
Lean R |
|
33 |
Kissell |
NC8 |
Lean R |
|
34 |
Titus |
NV3 |
Toss Up/Tilt R |
|
35 |
Boyd |
FL2 |
Toss Up/Tilt R |
|
36 |
Boccieri |
OH16 |
Toss Up/Tilt R |
|
37 |
Space |
OH18 |
Toss Up/Tilt R |
|
38 |
Mollohan |
WV1 |
Toss Up |
|
39 |
Schauer |
MI7 |
Toss Up |
|
40 |
Herseth Sandlin |
SD1 |
Toss Up |
|
41 |
Marshall |
GA8 |
Toss Up |
|
42 |
Spratt |
SC5 |
Toss Up |
|
43 |
Mitchell |
AZ5 |
Toss Up |
|
44 |
Arcuri |
NY24 |
Toss Up |
|
45 |
Hill |
IN9 |
Toss Up |
|
46 |
Carney |
PA10 |
Toss Up |
|
47 |
Foster |
IL14 |
Toss Up |
|
48 |
Hall, J. |
NY19 |
Nan Hayworth |
Toss Up |
49 |
Bright |
AL2 |
Toss Up |
|
50 |
McNerney |
CA11 |
Toss Up |
|
51 |
Giffords |
AZ8 |
Toss Up |
|
52 |
Minnick |
ID1 |
Toss Up |
|
53 |
Salazar |
CO3 |
Toss Up |
|
54 |
Schrader |
OR5 |
Toss Up |
|
55 |
Adler |
NJ3 |
Toss Up |
|
56 |
Klein |
FL22 |
Toss Up |
|
57 |
Hare |
IL17 |
Toss Up |
|
58 |
Rodriguez, C. |
TX23 |
Toss Up |
|
59 |
Davis, L. |
TN4 |
Toss Up |
|
60 |
Chandler |
KY6 |
Toss Up |
|
61 |
Boswell |
IA3 |
Toss Up |
|
62 |
Owens |
NY23 |
Toss Up |
|
63 |
Bishop, S. |
GA2 |
Toss Up |
|
64 |
Delahunt |
MA10 |
Toss Up |
|
65 |
Donnelly |
IN2 |
Toss Up |
|
66 |
Skelton |
MO4 |
Toss Up |
|
67 |
Murphy |
NY20 |
Toss Up |
|
68 |
Wilson, C. |
OH6 |
Toss Up |
|
69 |
Taylor |
MS4 |
Toss Up |
|
70 |
Grijalva |
AZ7 |
Toss Up |
|
71 |
Bishop |
NY1 |
Toss Up/Tilt D |
|
72 |
Heinrich |
NM1 |
Lean D |
|
73 |
Critz |
PA12 |
Lean D |
|
74 |
Boucher |
VA9 |
Lean D |
|
75 |
Larsen |
WA2 |
Lean D |
|
76 |
Peters |
MI9 |
Lean D |
|
77 |
Connolly |
VA11 |
Lean D |
|
78 |
Maffei |
NY25 |
Lean D |
|
79 |
Sanchez, Loretta |
CA47 |
Lean D |
|
80 |
Kind |
WI3 |
Lean D |
|
81 |
McMahon |
NY13 |
Lean D |
|
82 |
Altmire |
PA4 |
Lean D |
|
83 |
Walz |
MN1 |
Lean D |
|
84 |
Murphy, C. |
CT5 |
Lean D |
|
85 |
Sutton |
OH13 |
Lean D |
|
86 |
Rahall |
WV3 |
Lean D |
|
87 |
Himes |
CT4 |
Lean D |
|
88 |
Shuler |
NC11 |
Lean D |
|
89 |
McIntyre |
NC7 |
Lean D |
|
90 |
Perlmutter |
CO7 |
Lean D |
|
91 |
Pallone Jr. |
NJ6 |
Lean D |
|
92 |
Kennedy, P. |
RI1 |
Lean D |
|
93 |
Etheridge |
NC2 |
Lean D |
|
94 |
Costa |
CA20 |
Lean D |
|
95 |
Loebsack |
IA2 |
Lean D |
|
96 |
Oberstar |
MN8 |
Lean D |
|
97 |
Braley |
IA1 |
Lean D |
|
98 |
Hinchey |
NY22 |
Lean D |
|
99 |
Carnahan |
MO3 |
Lean D |
Join the conversation as a VIP Member