President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, Monday, April 6, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
This is the 27th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.
Chart One’s data table shows Total Infections, Total Fatalities, and the Mortality Rate. The upper graph shows the number of NEW infections by date. As more test materials have made into the field and been put to good use, trend lines are becoming more clear, even if at times, counterintuitive. Today’s number of new infections is 26,448, which is 973 fewer than yesterday. The curve in new infections is still moving in the right direction.
The lower graph shows new U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 1,513 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 23,618. This was 15 fewer than yesterday…despite “innovative” classification procedures still being promoted by the federal government. this is three days in a row then numbers have declined.
The second chart shows the U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) is now over 4%. Please note, I do not believe that this is actually the case. I am working to come up with more reliable numbers for the “denominator” while encouraging as many of you as possible to contact their representatives and encourage them to ask the administration to revise their reporting standard.
This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:
M/R = 4.03%
+1 = 2.01%
+2 = 1.34%
+3 = 1.01%
Analysis: We have “peaked.” Actually, I assess that that happened a few days ago. However, I also believe that artificial “adjustments” to what actually constitutes a Wuhan Virus Fatality,” is skewing the data and providing inaccurate information to the decisionmakers.
The Red State Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.
Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.
Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.
** On the first chart, I have “hidden” the daily entries from March 1-5, due to space considerations. The data is still reflected in the graphs. Here is a link to the last report that has March 1-5 table data visible, if you need it.