President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, Monday, April 6, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
This is the 25th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.
Chart One’s data table shows Total Infections, Total Fatalities, and the Mortality Rate. The upper graph shows the number of NEW infections by date. As more test materials have made into the field and been put to good use, trend lines are becoming more clear, even if at times, counterintuitive. Today’s number of new infections is 29,216, which is 5,094 fewer than yesterday. The curve in new infections is still moving in the right direction.
The lower graph shows new U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 1,815 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 20,562. This was 242 fewer than yesterday. These numbers are being driven by major metropolitan areas, like New York, New Jersey, and Michigan. More on this further down.
The second chart shows the U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) remains well over 3%.
This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. It also shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2 or 3 other persons out there with it. For today’s report:
M/R = 3.86%
+1 = 1.93%
+2 = 1.29%
+3 = 0.97%
Note: Our analysis continues to show that improper categorization of fatalities as “Wuhan Virus Related” is falsely skewing the numbers higher. We are undoubtedly past the “peak.”
The Red State Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.
As this is Easter, special prayers, giving thanks for our Lord and Saviour who gives us strength in trying times such as these.
Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.
** On the first chart, I have “hidden” the daily entries from March 1-5, for space considerations. The data is still reflected in the graphs. Here is a link to the last report that has March 1-5 table data visible, if you need it.