Trump's Favorability Surges


A new George Washington University battleground poll finds that 45 percent of voters now have a positive opinion of President-elect Donald Trump. That’s a 9-point increase since mid-October. The percentage of voters who continue to view Trump negatively has declined 12 percentage points – 61 to 49 percent – in the same period.


Hillary Clinton, who recently joined Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein’s recounts in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, has seen a decline in her favorability rating to 45 percent and an uptick in the percentage of voters who now hold a negative opinion of her to 55 percent.

According to this analysis by Ed Goeas and Brian Nienaber, there are clear signs in this poll’s data that voters are becoming optimistic and enthusiastic in defiance of convention wisdom:

While much of the earned media and commentary has focused on the foibles of this transition effort, when voters are asked for impact of what they have seen, read, or heard about Trump since his election, a plurality of voters (47%) say this information has given them a more favorable view of Trump. This positive information flow is remarkable given all the negative earned media and critical commentary that has been directed at President-elect Trump since Election Day. Fully forty-three percent (43%) of Johnson voters and fourteen percent (14%) of Clinton voters indicate their views about Trump have become more favorable since Election Day.

Fifteen percent said Trump should focus first on the economy, 11 percent on health care reform, 9 percent on getting rid of dysfunction in government and 8 percent on creating jobs.

Like the recent Harvard University’s Center for American Political Studies and the National Research Group poll, this new Battleground poll shows most voters believe Trump will deliver on his promises to reform healthcare and other issues:

  • Seventy-nine percent of voters are confident the president-elect will work with GOP lawmakers to repeal and replace ObamaCare;
  • A combined 71 percent of voters believe the president-elect is somewhat or very likely to work with Congress to overhaul the current U.S. tax code;
  • Sixty-six percent think Trump will make improvements to infrastructure;
  • Sixty percent believe he will renegotiate trade deals like NAFTA;
  • Fifty-three percent believe significant action will be taken to defeat radical Islamic terrorist groups in the Middle East; and
  • Fort-eight percent believe Trump will privatize Medicare.

But a shocking 55 percent of voters view Trump’s promise to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border as unlikely or entirely improbable.

The George Washington University battleground poll was conducted  Nov. 28-Dec. 1 and has  a margin of error plus or minus 3.1 percent.


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