Water Cooler 3/6/16 OPEN THREAD - Another super Tues, Trump with artificial intelligence, 3 new Mich polls


Do polls matter: Ask Streiff and he’ll say they run the gamut from “bad to “ludicrous” as he did this morning.  Ah well, let’s play anyway courtesy RCP.  Yesterday, ARG put out results for Michigan.  Kasich 33, Trump 31, Cruz 15,  Rubio 11.  Today a CBS/YouGov shows things differently with Trump 39, Cruz 24, Rubio 16 and Kasich 15.  And finally, a new poll from NBC/WSJ/Marist which Dan Spencer unpacks here  shows  Trump 41,  Cruz 22,  Rubio 17, Kasich 13. Obviously the margin for errors will be different and the polling dates.


No rest for the weary:  Today ( Sun.) there is a primary in Puerto Rico. Polls close there at 3 pm ET.  You can sleep tomorrow and may want to since Tuesday promises to be another fun filled day.  FOUR elections are planned. The states and the delegates they hold are as follows:

Hawaii  19 delegates

Idaho  32 delegates

Michigan – 59 delegates

Mississippi  40 delegates

I’ll leave this to “my betters” to figure out which are open vs closed, which are caucus vs primary and why those things matter this time around.

Geeks being geeks:  Bradley Hayes, a researcher at MIT has created another Trump, of sorts. Hayes has trained an artificial intelligence “…to create sentences based on Donald Trump’s victory speeches.” Science site Quartz says:

“…Hayes was inspired by a similar neural network trained to simulate Shakespeare quotes, as well as a recent report that Trump generally speaks at an elementary-school level. “Trump’s language tends to be more simplistic, so I figured that, as a modeling problem, he would be the most manageable candidate to study,

Also at the site are several (funny) tweets from the AI. They almost do sound like Trump. Hayes said they “..don’t always make complete sense, but are usually at least partially coherent —much like the candidate himself.”


Kasich’s grand plan: Ohio Gov John Kasich spoke with George Stephanopoulos today reminding the host how well he’s done up to now and what’s on tap for the future. “Our game plan was to do well in New Hampshire, which we achieved. We did better than people thought in South Carolina,” Kasich reminded him. He plans on doing better in Ohio and in Michigan. But, as The Hill notes, Kasich is not fond of a Marist poll from Michigan that has him in 4th place:

“And forget that [Marist] Poll,” he said. “I don’t know who took it.  I don’t know what it’s all about.  If I thought that was true, I would tell you we’re not doing better.”

So, just ignore that poll.

  •  Quickhits: Democratic debate tonight. Begins at 8 pm ET. It’s taking place in Flint, Michigan.
  • Saying goodbye to Nancy Reagan.  Mrs. Reagan, 94, passed away today in California.
  • Catching up on emailgate. WaPo says “Hillary Clinton wrote 104 emails that she sent using her private server while secretary of state that the government has since said contain classified information…”
  • Two Virginia firefighters transported an 18-month-old girl who was having a seizure to a hospital after no other emergency units were readily available. The firemen gave her oxygen and transported quickly thus saving her life. The heroes were then placed on suspension.  Their fire engine is licensed as a “non-transport unit”.

Today is National Frozen Food Day. “In Proclamation #5157, President Ronald Reagan said: “Now, Therefore, I, Ronald Reagan, President of the United States of America, do hereby proclaim March 6, 1984, as Frozen Food Day, and I call upon the American people to observe such day with appropriate ceremonies and activities.”

Reagan’s quote wraps up today’s Water Cooler. Drop by the cooler often because everyone drops new stuff down below. Breaking news or mindless meanderings all wind up in the cooler. Share some of yours. The ‘cooler is always Open Thread.

* All emphasis mine




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