Well, being as we are officially halfway through March, I think it's more than apropos to once again talk about the United States' neighbor to the north and (also to my East), Oh, Canada. Some people in warmer parts of the United States may be wondering what Canada and March have to do with each other, and of course, it would be that the hockey playoff season is right around the corner.
Silly (Canadian) goose.
In a previous article, I opined on why I believe the left-of-center political cesspool of the country of Canada would not be a good fit for the United States politically. Mostly because it would so change the dynamic of the electorate that somebody like Donald Trump or anybody with an R after their name would never win an election again.
For those who might not be familiar with my opinions on the matter, I am a huge fan and supporter of something that the founders of this nation implemented into how we elect people on a national basis. That unique system that they came up with was the Electoral College, and for the time — and still even today — it is a revolutionary way to make sure that the popular vote is not the only consideration in how leaders are elected on a national basis. Maybe you recall the elections of 2000 and 2016, where Al Gore and Hillary Clinton won the popular vote.
The genius of the E.C. is that smaller states can also have a say — not just larger, more populous states. I have written about this here a number of times, with my first article on the matter back in the day being Michigan GOP Plans Shredding The Constitution, And Trump, With National Popular Vote.
Having lived next to Canada all of my life and having watched the elections there, even though they have on occasion elected a conservative prime minister, there is a difference between Canadian conservatism and, let's say, the conservatism of Ronald Reagan. They both want smaller government, but the Canadian system leans much more left than even the Congress that Reagan had to deal with back when he was president.
Canada inherently lives in the far left lane of political discourse, and that would ultimately change how we do elections here nationally and would change the Electoral College. Thus, I believe that a Republican like Donald Trump would never see the light of day at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
I'm not comfortable with that.
So when I read this article right HERE that shows polling since Trudeau has stepped down has tilted into the factor of the liberals once again after Son of Fidel stepped down, I was not shocked.
In January, Canadian pollsters and political pundits struggled to find fresh ways to describe the bleak prospects of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal party, musing whether it would be a wipeout of existential proportions, or merely a catastrophic blowout.But fresh polling released by three companies this week shows a stunning reversal of fortunes for the party: newly minted prime minister Mark Carney’s Liberals are projected to secure a majority government.The outcome has little precedent in Canadian history, reflecting the outsized role played by an unpredictable US president, and it underscores the incentives for Carney to call a snap election in the coming days.On Tuesday, the political analyst Philippe Fournier updated his closely watched website 338Canada, which tracks and aggregates national polls, converting those figures into projected election results.
For the first time, his projection showed the Liberals with a 55% chance of a majority government. In January, the odds stood at less than 1%.
Canadians once again have a parliamentary system, which means national elections must be held at least once every five years, but the party in charge, along with the prime minister who is serving, gets to determine when an election can occur. My understanding of it is that they must hold a national election by November of this year, but they could hold it sooner and schedule it after Parliament reconvenes at the end of this month.
The assumption of most Canadian pundits that I have read and follow is that with these new polling numbers, the election will be held sooner rather than later to try to take advantage of this and extend the liberal party's rule for at least another three to five years.
Even if conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and his party can pull off a win, I'm still firmly in the NO CANADA camp with all due respect to my Canadian counterparts across the Detroit River.
I will still, on occasion, drink your beer to keep up the good neighborly vibe.
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