New poll: Carson leads Trump. Bush behind "undecided"

A new poll from IBD/TIPP is the first to show Donald Trump slipping from first place.

The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared with 17% who say they support Trump.

[mc_name name=’Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’R000595′ ] came in third with 11% and Carly Fiorina fourth at 9%. Jeb Bush, once considered a prohibitive favorite, ranked fifth with just 8% support, which was a point lower than those who say they are still undecided.

[mc_name name=’Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’C001098′ ] was 6th with 6% of the vote. This is the first poll to show Trump as anything but solidly in command of the race and the first to put him at under 20%.

The real news here is that Jeb Bush seems to be locked in at below 10%. Bush’s two selling points are that he is inevitable and he can raise a lot of money. Right now he’s not looking inevitable and that will effect how much money he can raise. His last known fundraising showed a campaign profile very similar to that of Scott Walker’s: lots of Super PAC cash and more staff and infrastructure than his hard money contributions can support.