Mark Halperin Drops Some Damning News on Harris' Chances in Critical Swing States

In the final days before the election, the Kamala Harris team has been desperate with lies and the other things they have said have just been wild - insulting women and millions of other Trump supporters, calling them "Nazis" and garbage."

Those examples alone have shown how bankrupt they are as a campaign, on top of not having good plans or policies.

But on top of that, they've been getting all kinds of aid from the mainstream media, who seem to have been acting like another arm of the Democratic Party, twisting things that President Donald Trump says into a pretzel to use them against him. Take the Liz Cheney comment, which they insanely tried to twist into a threat. That's where they are at this point and they've thrown away any credibility -- if they had any left.

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So now the Harris team is also trying to claim that after Trump's Madison Square Garden rally that they lied about and called a "Nazi rally," they've suddenly gotten a lot of undecided voters to switch to them, says a senior Time correspondent.

Senior Harris campaign staff say their internal data shows Harris winning battleground state voters who have made up their minds in the last week by double-digit margins. They say that Trump's MSG rally was the "last straw" for late-breaking undecided voters
— Charlotte Alter (@CharlotteAlter) November 1, 2024

By double digits, no less. Uh-huh, and unicorns are dancing in the streets outside my house as we speak.

I mention the above because of the silliness of the campaign saying it expecting people to buy it, and then a reporter posting it without any critical question about it on X. Just believe it. Because the campaign which has lied repeatedly says it.

As data poll guy Rich Baris and Fox's David Marcus explained:

Did you actually ask for credible evidence to back that claim up?

Because very few of the very small group of still undecideds we spoke with mentioned news cycle stories of any stripe as their deciding issue.

It's Inflation, Jobs, Immigration, Abortion, Other. https://t.co/srHLhZxAYO
— Rich Baris The People's Pundit (@Peoples_Pundit) November 1, 2024

Maybe they are right, but I haven’t seen a shred of evidence for this on the ground. In fact, the exact opposite. https://t.co/SYBKoDfWXD
— David Marcus (@BlueBoxDave) November 1, 2024

There isn't anything reflecting the Harris team's claim in anything I've seen. Even the Google trends don't back that up, as I noted in my story about Joe Biden's garbage comment.

Warning for graphic language:

Journalist Mark Halperin broke that apart here, including the great response from the Trump campaign's Chris LaCivita, responding what are they going to say, admit they are losing?

Harris campaign strategist David Plouffe “makes the assertion that undecided voters in the last few days have moved towards Kamala Harris and that they've moved towards her because of the Madison Square Garden event. Now that assertion seems questionable on the face. If I were on… pic.twitter.com/g3yaaTNSjm
— 2WAY (@2waytvapp) November 2, 2024

But I suspect they're saying that because of what the reality is that, as Mark Halperin noted, she's in trouble in the only path that she has left - the Rust Belt.

Here's the reality as Halperin breaks it down. She's unlikely to win Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona. We've reported how Trump is up in those states, the signs are good with early voting and over the past couple of weeks, Trump appears to have increased his poll numbers in Georgia and Arizona in the RCP average. He says from his sources, it doesn't appear she will win those states.

“My reporting is that she's in trouble in Wisconsin,” says @MarkHalperin of Kamala Harris. “This is based on three sources — two Republicans, one Democrat — all of whom know the state quite well and all of whom told me today … they would be somewhere between surprised and… pic.twitter.com/41alRNqW8L
— 2WAY (@2waytvapp) November 2, 2024

If she doesn't win those three states, she must sweep Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. "My reporting is she's in trouble in Wisconsin, he said.

“This is based on three sources — two Republicans, one Democrat — all of whom know the state quite well and all of whom told me today … they would be somewhere between surprised and shocked if Kamala Harris won Wisconsin … So reorient yourself away from news framing that says it's all about Pennsylvania. She could win Pennsylvania and lose the election because she doesn't win Wisconsin. Watch Wisconsin.”

Indeed, if that's true and it holds, she's toast.

If she loses the other swing states but only holds Michigan and Pennsylvania? That would be 278 to 260. But Trump is also ahead in Pennsylvania. So a very likely break might be 297 to 241, she only gets Michigan, and even that is a question, given the protests against her and Trump winning support in places like Dearborn.

"Trouble in Wisconsin" could spell doom.