Election Analyst Dashes Harris' Dreams, Explains Why Her 'Electoral College Paths' May Be Closing

AP Photo/Stephen B. Morton

Kamala Harris and the liberal media claimed that she won the debate. 

But then it didn't seem like she got any bounce, if that were true. She still wasn't giving real answers to questions — cackles don't count. Plus, if she has so much support, what was going on in that Oprah Zoom audience with the duplicate rows of people? 

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Harris also seems pretty desperate to have another debate with former President Donald Trump. That tells you she knows she needs it, that the internals aren't good, and the most recent polls seem to bear that out. 


READ MORE: First NYT/Siena, Now Even More Polling That's Going to Make the Harris Team Lose Their Minds

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Our sister site Townhall reported on what former MSNBC commentator and now Newsmax analyst Mark Halperin said about the state of the race. Halperin made clear that if the NYT/Siena poll was accurate, as to the Sun Belt states, Harris' possible paths to victory were shutting down. The poll showed Trump up by five in Arizona, four in Georgia, and two in North Carolina. It doesn't deal with Nevada. 

“It leaves out one of the four sun belt states, but I have reason to believe the trend there would be the same. This is what Trump pollsters and strategists predicted about a month ago, that he would reassert the dominance he had in those four sun belt states,” Halperin said. “And of course, if that happens, and I’m not sure it is, the Times polls may be outliers, but if it’s true, it means that Kamala Harris is back to where Joe Biden was before his debate with Donald Trump, which is to have exactly one Electoral College path. And by the way, if Nebraska changes the way it allocates its electoral votes, she’ll have no Electoral College paths if the Times polls are right.”

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It means in order to have a chance if what Halperin is saying about the Sun Belt is correct, she would have to win all the other battleground states -- Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. If she loses even one, she's done. And what he's saying there is that if Nebraska does change its system to winner-take-all and that forecloses even the possibility of one vote for Harris, she would be foreclosed from 270. 

Now it looks like Nebraska might not go that route to winner-take-all, as one state senator is standing in the way, but even if that doesn't pan out, the problem still remains that her paths are limited. 

The NYT/Siena poll also shows Harris has dropped 11 points with Latinos in Arizona since August. I think that's an indicator of how much they are rejecting her on the border. 

Now the Emerson poll seems to be in line with the NYT/Siena as well, as I noted.

Emerson has Trump up in Georgia 50 to 47 percent, Arizona 49 to 48 percent, Wisconsin 49 to 48 percent, and Pennsylvania 48 to 47 percent. Nevada is tied at 48 percent. Harris is ahead 49 to 48 percent in North Carolina and 49 to 47 percent in Michigan.

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As Townhall's Matt Vespa opined, then she's back in the position no better than Biden. 

If this holds, that's the ballgame, as Halperin is saying. 

The Harris team is seeing it and this is why they're starting to flip out and want another debate.

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