Biden Is In Trouble Part Two: Trump Support Among Minority Voters Just Got Huge Bump After Convention

AP Photo/Chris Carlson
AP featured image
President Donald Trump speaks during the first day of the Republican National Convention Monday, Aug. 24, 2020, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)

When President Donald Trump won in 2016, he won with about 8% of the black vote.


There have been multiple polls indicating his support to be more than that among black people now.

Here’s the latest, according to The Hill.

According to a Hill-HarrisX poll conducted Aug 22-25, Trump’s support with black voters shot up nine points after the Republican National Convention to 24 percent of registered black voters.

A prior survey conducted between Aug 8-11, showed that according to the poll he had 15 percent.

Support among Hispanics also bumped up by 2 points over the same period going from 30 percent to 32 percent.

The poll was conducted with 2,861 registered voters.

As we have previously reported, other polls show the support being even higher, so the aggregate of approval of the black vote is running between 24 and as much as 41 percent among likely voters by Rasmussen, depending on the poll. Even with a more conservative projection like this latest poll is great news for Trump and a real problem for Biden.

As Real Clear Politics has noted in the past:

Even 20 percent African-American support for Trump would all but dismantle Democratic Party presidential hopes for 2020. Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election with 88 percent of the black vote. That was about a six-point falloff from Barack Obama’s share of the black vote in 2012.

But far more importantly, an estimated 2 million of the African-American voters who cast ballots for Obama in 2012 simply did not show up at the polls in 2016 to vote for the off-putting Clinton.

Even a small drop in African-American turnout or anything less than the usual 85 percent to 90 percent supermajority for a Democratic presidential candidate on Election Day can prove fatal.


Democrats are going to have a meltdown at this news.

But it’s not hard to understand why. Trump making an effort to reach out for black support, record low black unemployment, more jobs and a strong economy prior to the pandemic, with clear indications that the economy is coming back under Trump.

As I noted earlier in my piece on six Democratic mayors coming out for Trump in Minnesota, they’re also seeing the radical shift of the Democrats and not liking what they’re seeing. People don’t like to see their cities burning or their citizens threatened and they see this happening in Democratic areas with Democratic officials failing to address it while seeing Trump condemning it and doing what he can to help. Is it any wonder that it’s causing movement?


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