As the 2022 midterm elections inch closer and closer, it appears reality might be setting in for the Democrats. A recent report suggests that many on the left are becoming more pessimistic about their chances for retaining control of both chambers of Congress.
The Hill reported that “several Democratic strategists and operatives expressed a growing sense of pessimism about 2022,” even though they still believed that the downturn is “reversible.”
A senior Democratic congressional aide told The Hill that he is “not feeling good about where we are.” He also acknowledged that the party’s plight depended on how much they were able to get done while controlling the White House and both chambers of Congress. “Look, it was never going to be easy or anything. It was always kind of contingent on what got done. I just think we’re starting to see how fragile this is,” he said.
The official is assessing the situation accurately – the Democrats have not had many victories since they have been in office. In order to retake the House, Republicans need to flip only five seats. The Hill pointed out that “they stand to benefit right off the bat from redistricting in key states and the historical maxim that the party of a new president tends to lose ground in midterm elections.”
When it comes to the Senate, there is a very good chance that Republicans could retake control if they manage to flip at least one seat. As it stands, there are three Democratic senators who might be in danger of losing their seats. However, Republicans have to defend more Senate seats than Democrats, so it is possible that the upper chamber could remain dominated by Democrats.
Democrats are afraid that the chance to ram through as much legislation as possible is slipping away. As I wrote previously, President Joe Biden and the Democratic Party are running out of time. Another Democratic strategist told The Hill:
It’s a kind of a Catch-22, I think. We’re asking people to vote for us so we have a bigger majority so we can make these big things happen. But the average voter, who doesn’t eat, sleep and breathe this — all they see is gridlock in Washington and they think it’s just more of the same, you know? That’s not really a great case for us.
The report indicates that the situation for the Democrats isn’t completely dire as its candidates “are still raking in massive amounts of cash” and that they “hold a slight edge on the generic ballot.” The author wrote:
Democrats also hold a slight edge on the generic ballot, a poll question that tests which party voters would prefer to have in control of Congress. An average calculated by the data website FiveThirtyEight shows Democrats leading Republicans on that question 44.4 percent to 41.5 percent.
However, the report also acknowledges that a Quinnipiac University poll found that 47 percent of voters would rather the Republicans control the House while 44 percent said they would prefer for Democrats to retain control.
But there is also President Biden, whose approval ratings are gradually slipping further into the toilet. A poll conducted this week showed that his numbers are at 43.3% approval and more than 50% disapproval.
Tim Malloy, an analyst at Quinnipiac University, told The Hill:
President Biden’s backslide on leadership, honesty and competence and the fact that he has lost some ground on handling of the COVID pandemic has to be concerning to Democrats.
He also noted that the president “has had a grueling few months” due to rising gas prices and supply chain problems.
While Democrats seem to believe there might be a road to victory for the midterms, current indications suggest they are engaging in a bit of wishful thinking. Biden has mismanaged every single problem and crisis that has been thrown his way. His incompetence has been on full display since he took office, and it does not appear that he will get it together any time soon.
To make matters worse, Democrats have not been able to pass any meaningful legislation except the coronavirus relief bill. Right now, they are struggling to push through the president’s “Build Back Better” plan along with infrastructure. The opposition coming from Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) and Joe Manchin (D-WV) is forcing them to shave off most of the far-left progressive provisions in the bill. No amount of pressure or harassment seems to be making either of these individuals budge on their positions.
Unless a miracle occurs, the Democrats are headed for a major shellacking in November 2022.