Trump’s Re-Election Chances Are Not Looking Good, But He Can Turn It Around

Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour
AP featured image
President Donald J. Trump arrives at Green Bay-Austin Straubel International Airport in Green Bay, Wis. Thursday, June 25, 2020, and boards Air Force One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)


President Trump is facing some not so good news. If recent developments are any indication, Trump’s chances for re-election are in question. Amid increased racial tensions, a suffering economy, and dismal poll numbers, the president could very well be limited to one term, unless something changes.

Politico recently released a report discussing the opinions of several individuals close to the president who are concerned about his odds of winning in November. Being that Politico is a left-leaning outlet, it seems appropriate to take their report with a grain of salt. However, it would be foolish to dismiss it out of hand, given the occurrences the nation has seen over the past few months.

According to the report, White House aides stated that the president is dealing with “the worst stretch of his presidency, marred by widespread criticism over his response to the coronavirus pandemic and nationwide racial unrest.” Of course, the corporate media’s skewed reportage isn’t helping matters either.

But it seems that Trump himself recognizes that there is a very real chance that he could lose in November. In an interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity, he acknowledged that former Vice President Joe Biden is “gonna be your president because some people don’t love me, maybe.”

Recent polls don’t show a promising outlook for Trump. The RealClearPolitics average shows him trailing the former vice president by nine points. Moreover, a New York Times/Siena College poll analyzing voter attitudes in swing states revealed that so far, there has been no sign that minorities are switching from Biden to Trump. Even worse, the president’s support among whites has seen a decline as well.


In 2016, Trump led with non-college-educated white voters by 26% against Hillary Clinton. Now, the president’s lead with this voting group has decreased to 16% against Biden. Additionally, Biden enjoys a 39-point lead among white women with college degrees. Clinton led Trump by only seven points with this same group in 2016.

Biden’s lead among younger voters is also nothing to sneeze at. The study found that 52% of white voters under 45 support Biden. Only 30% indicated that they would choose Trump.

Despite these numbers, all is not lost. In fact, things could easily turn around before now and November. Trump’s team seems to recognize the predicament in which they find themselves and are starting to pivot its approach.

People close to Trump told Politico that the president understands the stakes and is “starting to take a more hands-on role in the campaign and has expressed openness to adding more people to the team.”

The campaign expressed optimism that Trump’s numbers will improve as he starts holding public events again. Members of the team indicated that it has been difficult for Trump to “land a punch” on Biden as he continues to hide away in his basement. “The key factor has been that Biden has been able to stay out of the race,” David McIntosh, president of the pro-Trump Club for Growth, told Politico. “Republicans have to start defining Biden and put resources and effort and consistent messaging behind it.”

Biden’s lack of presence may have helped him until now, but he can’t hide forever. At some point, he will have to emerge from his cave and start fighting, and it is this inevitability that will almost certainly work in Trump’s favor. The former vice president can’t string more than three sentences together without committing a gaffe, and the media can only do so much to protect him.


If Trump can stay on message and avoid frivolous Twitter feuds and bad optics, his numbers are sure to rise as Biden continues to expose himself as a horrible candidate. The more Trump focuses on touting his achievements and calling out Biden’s flawed record and lack of mental acuity, the more he will raise his odds of winning. Put simply, Trump’s needs fixate less on the Scarboroughs and Boltons and more on his opponent, or he could cost himself the election.


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