NY-09 Goes Republican For the First Time Since 1922


NY-09 last saw Republicans hold it in 1922. The seat, last held by Anthony Weiner, flipped back to the GOP tonight in a stunning rebuke to Barack Obama.

In every special election in New York for the past few years, even in 2009/2010, the Democrats pointed their finger at each one and declare it spelled disaster for the GOP. Today, the Democrats will declare NY-09 has no bearing on anything under the sun.


Except, in NY-09 the Democrats attacked the Republican, Congressman-Elect Turner, on the Paul Ryan plan. They attacked him on social security and medicare. All things the Democrats did in the last New York congressional special election they did again this time. And they lost. They lost a district that went for Obama, Kerry, and Gore. They lost a district that has had a Democrat representing it for almost 90 years.

Obama lost New York Jewish voters. He lost them because of three things.

First, he lost them because of the economy. Even in this reliably Democrat district, the voters are upset about the economy. No amount of spin can change that polling.

Second, he lost them because for three years the Democrats have said Jewish voters love Obama and they really don’t. As Ari Fleischer said jokingly on Twitter, “Obama calls for NY-9 to return to it’s pre-1967 status. Last time an R held the seat was 1922.” No doubt Obama will soon travel to Israel.

Third, and the one that will get little if any play in the mainstream media except frivolous debunking, the voters in NY-09 rejected David Weprin’s vote in favor of gay marriage. Yes, yet again we see a reliably Democrat area rebel against Democrats pushing gay marriage. (below the fold for data on that)


I’ve long said these special elections in New York really are not meaningful at a national level. They’ve served to highlight the incompetence of the New York GOP more than the failures of the national GOP. But in this race, you had a highly competent Democratic Party and union organizers on the ground turning out the vote and they lost. And the most consistent reason through multiple polling is a very simple reason — even Democrats now hate Barack Obama’s job performance.

I eagerly await the front page story in the New York Times about growing Democratic whispers of a primary campaign against Barack Obama. Oh, and yes, the GOP can now tell him to take a hike on his jobs legislation.

Here’s some data being circulated on the gay marriage point many will try to ignore:




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