Voters prefer President-elect Donald J. Trump for president over President Barack Obama.
That’s according to a new Morning Consult/POLITICO poll, in which 45 percent of respondents said they would prefer Trump, compared with 44 percent who prefer Obama. It’s a virtual tie because it is within the poll’s of plus or minus 2 percent margin of error.
Nevertheless, the poll is offered is offered as some support for the proposition that Obama was wrong when he claimed he could have won reelection had he run in 2016.
Morning Consult attributes Trump’s advantage, in part, to his “comparatively consolidated partisan base.”
While 86 percent of Republicans want to see Trump serve as president for the next four years, 81 percent of Democrats said the same for Obama, who holds a 3-point lead over Trump with independents — 41 percent to 38 percent.
Voters also split along gender, age and ethnicity:
Along gender lines, 50 percent of men preferred Trump, compared with 48 percent of women who backed Obama. Younger voters, too, were more likely to prefer Obama to Trump: 61 percent of voters age 18 through 29 opted for Obama, while more than half of voters age 55 or older said they prefer Trump. There were also major splits based on ethnicity — 51 percent of white voters wanted to see Trump lead the country for the next four years, a view shared by 38 percent of Hispanics and 16 percent of black voters.
The survey was conducted Dec. 28 through 29 among 2,000 registered voters.