Bend the Rules Hillary Loses Ground Among Women


A new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Sunday, finds the presidential race tightening with Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump narrowing from 12-points among registered voters in mid-June  to “a non-significant 4-point gap” now – 47 percent to 43 percent. Adding third party candidates Libertarian Party Gary Johnson and Green Party  Jill Stein doesn’t change the result:

  • Clinton – 42%
  • Trump – 38%
  • Johnson – 8%
  • Stein – 5%

Among likely voters Hillary’s lead is seven points  – “an unusual result, in that likely voters typically tilt more Republican.” More interesting are the numbers showing Hillary losing and The Donald gaining ground. The most significant decline for Hillary is among women:

College-educated white women have gone from a 22-point preference for Clinton last month to essentially an even split now, by far the closest margin in this group in ABC/Post polling this election cycle.

And perhaps even more troubling for Hillary is that  72 percent now see her as “too willing to bend the rules.”

Both Hillary and the Donald remain extremely unpopular.

The unpopularity of both candidates is striking. Sixty-four percent see Trump unfavorably, but that’s an improvement from last month’s 70 percent. Fifty-four percent now see Clinton unfavorably, a single point higher than last month last month. According to ABC News article, they remain the two most unpopular likely major-party nominees in ABC/Post polling back to 1984. Another sign of the two candidates unpopularity is that more voters will vote against a candidate instead of for a candidate:

In another measure of the candidates’ weaknesses, fewer than four in 10 registered voters who pick Trump over Clinton say they mainly support him; most, 57 percent, instead say they mainly oppose Clinton. It’s barely better for Clinton: Just 44 percent of her supporters mainly favor her, while 54 percent mainly oppose Trump.

The poll was conducted July 11-14, 2016 and has a margin of error of 3.5 percent for the full sample, and 4 percent for registered voters.