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Are Democrats Setting Kamala Harris Up to Fail?

AP Photo/Susan Walsh

The 2024 presidential election will undoubtedly be written about and studied by political science students for years to come. There are serious questions about the incumbent president's mental faculties, and the party elites know he cannot win in November. A "palace coup" of sorts is engineered, and he drops out of the race. Instead of coming up with a process where the people would decide who the new candidate would be, the vice president, who is a worse candidate than the president, is put in place as the nominee. But what if this process is all a setup as well? 

The phrase "stranger things have happened" describes much of what goes on in politics. But the presidential campaign of Kamala Harris is at the top of the strange things list. It's so strange that we are getting to the point where we have to start asking questions. The nation is now well-versed in Harris word salads, but is she really this incoherent? Is she really this dumb? Is her campaign really this bad? Are the Democrats setting Kamala Harris up for failure? 

The mechanics of the campaign are not good. While the Real Clear Politics Poll has her up 1.8 points over Donald Trump, her support in key demographic groups is not where Democrats need it to be. Among black women over 50 years of age, 79 percent say they would vote for her, but only 66 percent of men over 50. Among younger black voters, the numbers are worse. Just 56 percent of black voters aged 18-49 say they support her. Democrats' long-held belief that Hispanic voters are single-issue voters, that issue being immigration, may be coming back to haunt them. Support among Hispanics is also faltering. Among registered Hispanic voters, 54 percent support her. Unions are not exactly falling into lock-step and endorsing the Democrat candidate this year either. One of the nation's largest unions, The Teamsters, has not endorsed a candidate in 2024. The reason may be pretty simple. A poll taken of rank-and-file members showed overwhelming support for Donald Trump at 60 percent. Just 34 percent supported Harris. But maybe the most egregious, while millions in the southeast were suffering the ravages of Hurricane Helene, Kamala Harris was fundraising in Las Vegas and L.A. 

But then there are the subtle things, or maybe not-so-subtle. Kamala Harris has now gone 72 days and counting without holding any kind of press conference or gaggle where she might answer questions about what she would do if elected president. It is obvious that handlers, whoever they may be, think keeping Kamala Harris away from the press is the best way to go. But then there was Harris' obvious obligatory "visit" to the southern border. Harris walked the border fence for roughly 20 minutes, long enough for the photo-op. And the latest, a now-infamous picture of a supposedly deep in consultation Harris, with FEMA, or somebody, taking notes with earbuds. Except that the paper she was writing on appeared to be blank, and the earbuds were not attached to her phone.

When Joe Biden announced he was leaving the race, there was room before their convention for Democrats to come up with some sort of primary-like nominating process. The problem was Harris herself. If Democrats somehow bounced her out of the way of succession, they risked losing an even bigger portion of the black vote. Would brewing up an intentionally bad campaign be the answer for them, and if so, what do Democrats get out of it? 

There is not a lot of thought that Donald Trump could win in a "landslide." But if Kamala Harris suffers a severe enough drubbing, is she damaged enough that she could not run in 2028? She will be permanently tied to the Biden administration, something Democrats surely are not looking for in a future candidate. If Democrats have decided that they will take the "L" in 2024, they have time to retool and have a clear path in 2028. They also have a stealthy way of getting rid of the black woman. That means a clear path for someone like California Gov. Gavin Newsom, or someone else.

In 2028, Kamala Harris will be 64 years old, still fairly young for a politician. What's left for her? Aside from a Cabinet position in a possible Newsom or other administration, or an ambassadorship? A run for California governor would be safe, kind of like Hillary Clinton running for Senate in New York, a virtual no-brainer. 

We have yet to enjoy this year's October surprise but is the surprise the fact that Democrats know they have a Kamala Harris problem and they have implemented the extended plan? Stranger things have happened.

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