As several of us have pointed out, the impeachment of President has some significant obstacles. Not only are the charges utter flimflammery, the process seen as unfair, it is demonstrably partisan as not a single GOP representative supports and several Democrats oppose it, and it is unpopular with the voters.
Where this is hitting hardest is in the more than a dozen districts that went for Donald Trump and where Republicans out-register Democrats, living and dead, by four or more points. In those districts, Donald Trump is more popular today than he was in 2016, the economy is doing well, and the Russia Hoax nonsense that was behind some of these districts flipping has been dispelled. We’ve seen the harsh reception that some of these have received at home.
This is Abigail Spanberger at a townhall meeting on December 8. Spanberger defeat David Brat in VA-7. This was Eric Cantor’s old seat and it rated as +6 Republican.
WATCH: #VA07 Democrat Rep. Abigail Spanberger faced the wrath of angry constituents this week for supporting the impeachment inquiry into President Trump.
Those in attendance called the impeachment inquiry "incredible bullshit," "crap," and "all lies." pic.twitter.com/FzJlsA6sCh
— America Rising (@AmericaRising) December 10, 2019
On the same day Kendra Horn was facing constituents in a meeting in OK-5. The R+10 district had been held by a retired Army infantry officer and outstanding combat commander, Steve Russel, until 2018.
Lasts weekend, a third such townhall went south. Congresswoman Elissa Slotkin who carried the R+4 Michigan-8 district was hammered on impeachment.
And yet, all three of these Congresswomen, all of whom hail from districts which they should not have won and facing protests over impeachment, have firmly lined up to support it.
I have studied the articles of impeachment, both Republican and Democratic reports, deposition transcripts, and public testimony. With a heavy heart and a solemn devotion to our Constitution, I will vote in favor of both articles. Read my full statement: https://t.co/yDm7KvlDD3 pic.twitter.com/3gdP6O7mnK
— Rep. Abigail Spanberger (@RepSpanberger) December 16, 2019
BREAKING: Rep. Kendra Horn who represents a district, which went for Trump in 2016 by more than 14 points is voting for impeachment
"The oath I took to protect and defend the Constitution requires a vote for impeachment."
— PoliticsVideoChannel (@politvidchannel) December 17, 2019
In the national security world, we are trained to make hard calls, even if they are unpopular –– if we believe the security of the country is at stake.
I will be voting yes on both articles of impeachment. And I want all of my constituents to know why: https://t.co/JvJN0jkAdS
— Rep. Elissa Slotkin (@RepSlotkin) December 16, 2019
Adding to this list is Anthony Brindisi who flipped the R+6 NY-22.
The Constitution, the rule of law, respect for justice and individual dignity have standards and therefore must be subject to accountability. Read my full opinion here: https://t.co/QWqBT2auJj
— Rep. Anthony Brindisi (@RepBrindisi) December 17, 2019
While some of us, me included, thought that Democrats in Red or Purple districts might be hesitant to vote for impeachment because of the backlash and perhaps give Nancy Pelosi a black eye, it now appears that there was a much more counterintuitive process underway.
A vulnerable freshman Democrat voting for impeachment mostly angers people who would not vote for them anyway and it has the advantage of locking in support from their local base voters and guaranteeing some level of financial support from the DNC. It might even get them some support from that mushy moderate demographic that is all about voting their emotions (courage and all that, donchknow?). Voting against impeachment probably doesn’t make Trump voters vote for them, most Trump voters will probably be anxious to flip the House to put an end to this nonsense, but it will depress the number of votes they’d receive from their base and the level of resources they’d get from the DNC. In these three cases, they all know, particularly Horn, that they are probably on borrowed time as 2020 is looking to be a high turnout election. Their survival is inextricably wedded to the fate of the Democrat party, no matter what stance they take, and they have little to lose by voting for something as unpopular as impeachment. And they have everything to gain from it, in fact, their political survival demands that they do it.