Friday, we were told that Hurricane Dorian would come ashore in central or north east Florida sometime Saturday. That hasn’t happened. In fact, it looks like it probably won’t happen.
Dorian is going to curb stomp parts of the Caribbean and then head north but stay at sea paralleling the US coastline.
Here is today's incredible full day 1-min GOES-16 animation of #Hurricane #Dorian. Its structure has remained remarkably consistent today with no signs of an eyewall replacement cycle imminent. pic.twitter.com/nWMclrd7Za
— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) August 31, 2019
The most recent storm track shows it paralleling the coast and dying out somewhere off North Carolina late next week.
https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1168549103564779520
While it sucks to be in the vicinity of the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos, we should thank our guardian angels that the storm is not going to come ashore in the United States.
Having said that, the storm generated some of the most highly-charged stupidity in recent memory. A former Canadian (naturally) prime minister was cheering for the hurricane to hit Trump’s Mar-A-Lago estate (see this from Sister Toldjah). She wasn’t alone among the blue-check Twitter fellatistas who were hoping for billions of dollars in property damage and hundreds, if not thousands, of deaths to be able to get their OrangeManBad on.
Hurricane Dorian is now projected to grow into a Cat. 4 storm.
One of the most accurate storm predictions, the European Model expects a track that would strike a full frontal blow on Trump's Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida.#ThursdayThoughts pic.twitter.com/x7y7HfPVsP
— Grant Stern (@grantstern) August 29, 2019
And, of course, some tied it to anthropogenic global warning, the apparent religion of the less-than-bright left.
Trump: Climate change is a hoax.
Earth 🌍: Here’s a Category 4 hurricane with 130+ mph winds aimed right at Mar-a-Lago, with my compliments. pic.twitter.com/NDkSzJB0sh
— David Leavitt (@David_Leavitt) August 29, 2019
But since he said it, consider this. We know a great deal about hurricanes because they cause a large amount of property damage and loss of life. Trying to understand hurricanes has had significant interest since the 18th century when the Royal Navy in the Caribbean would change its base of operation to Halifax, Nova Scotia, each June to avoid hurricane season. By trying to understand them, we can avoid or mitigate potentially catastrophic evens. Friday, this storm was going to hit Florida on Saturday morning. It didn’t and won’t. But the same lackwits bleating about global warming want us to believe that their models, which are wildly inaccurate even in retrospective analysis, are able to predict net changes in the earth’s temperature within a fraction of a degree some decades into the future. You really can’t have both of these things existing. If you can’t accurately forecast a highly studied and localized phenomenon you certainly can’t forecast with any accuracy macro- and micro-climate changes decades in the future.
#Dorian updated track around the holiday and what to expect. pic.twitter.com/BOFDHeAAL5
— PandemicPineapple (@pineapplepleas) September 2, 2019
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