I have to say that there’s one guy at CNN who seems to be willing to go out on a limb (for that network) to drop data that may not be good for Joe Biden and the Democrats. That’s Harry Enten.

Enten just dropped some polling news that’s not going to make Joe Biden and the Democrats happy.

Now, as I say with every poll, it’s early, and it’s a poll. It’s an indication – things can change. But it’s looking good for former President Donald Trump, not so much for Joe Biden.

Enten explains that despite inflation easing some, Biden’s approval hasn’t gotten any better, and that should be worrying for him.

"Biden's overall approval rating, and his approval rating on the economy, really hasn't gotten much better," says CNN's Harry Enten.

"Inflation, yes, it's down compared to a year ago — but compared to two years ago, it's still WAY UP." pic.twitter.com/EnZ3qkV2vw

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) August 3, 2023

“Inflation, yes, it’s down compared to a year ago — but compared to two years ago, it’s still way up,” Enten said, explaining people were likely taking the “longer range view.” In other words, the American people know Joe Biden was responsible for driving it up, and it’s still worse than when he came in, so we’re not giving him credit for it going down.

Meanwhile, the Congressional Republicans are even doing better than Biden. Usually, Americans love to hate Congress. But they trust them more than Biden, so this is also pretty bad news for Biden, a “very worrying sign” for him, Enten said.

CNN POLL: "More people actually trust congressional Republicans than President Biden on the most important issues of the day." pic.twitter.com/GbwgkL4r6P

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) August 3, 2023

In terms of approval, Trump has higher approval than Biden at this point.

CNN: "We always said Donald Trump had such a low approval rating, right? But if you look, what you see is that Donald Trump’s approval rating was actually slightly larger than Joe Biden’s was at this point." pic.twitter.com/UscJVY3cXN

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) August 3, 2023

Enten didn’t hold back on Joe Biden’s approval on the economy.

CNN: "If you look at Joe Biden's approval on the economy right now, IT STINKS" pic.twitter.com/N8cmOZeo26

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) August 3, 2023

“If you look at Joe Biden’s approval on the economy right now, IT STINKS!” Enten declared, explaining it was well below 40 percent. Biden has a 37 percent approval rating on the economy and 63 percent disapproval.

Then Enten amplified some of those problems in an analysis he did over the weekend where he noted that Trump was in a good position to win.

Trump is not only in a historically strong position for a nonincumbent to win the Republican nomination, but he is in a better position to win the general election than at any point during the 2020 cycle and almost at any point during the 2016 cycle.

He said “one giant warning sign for Democrats” was a late June Quinnipiac University poll from Pennsylvania. According to Enten, the state barely voted for Trump in 2016 and for Biden in 2020,” but now he’s up by one point there, which Enten called a “remarkable achievement.”

He said that in terms of the primary, all the historical numbers were in Trump’s favor.

“No one in Trump’s current polling position in the modern era has lost an open presidential primary that didn’t feature an incumbent. He’s pulling in more than 50% of support in the national primary polls, i.e., more than all his competitors combined,” Enten explained [….]

“A look back at past polls does show candidates coming back from deficits greater than 10 points to win the nomination, but none greater than 30 points at this point. In fact, the biggest comebacks when you average all the polls in the second half of the year before the election top out at about 20 points (Democrats George McGovern in 1972, Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008),” Enten adds, bringing in the numbers to back up his argument.

Enten does note that Obama was down some 30 points at one point in the 2008 primaries, but that he was always within striking distance in the early contests – unlike the current GOP field. Trump currently has large leads in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.

So again, early polling but no wonder Biden is pulling in Barack Obama for advice. Maybe also no wonder every time something drops on the Biden scandal, we keep seeing a corresponding effort to drop something on Trump. They know they’re in a bind, and as Enten said, there’s a “very real possibility” Trump could win.