At the start of the week it wasn’t looking great for Donald Trump’s chances to beat Hillary Clinton. But now the mid-week polls have come in, with a wide mix of results.
Who’s ahead now?
President Barack Obama hugs Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton after addressing the delegates during the third day session of the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia, Wednesday, July 27, 2016. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
We had a mix of polls come out with a few different results, oddly enough. In the four way freak show race, The Economist with YouGov showed Clinton +3, Rasmussen showed Trump +1, Gravis came up with a Tie, and Reuters with Ipsos says a whopping Clinton +6. Clearly the net result is a Clinton lead, and despite the end of Trump’s slump in the head-to-head, he’s still down 3.2 points.
Additionally, outside of the poll average, NBC News with SurveyMonkey have Clinton up 6 points, which would only drag the average even further away from the GOP.
And then you’ve got the head-to-head contest. The LA Times and USC have their usual laugher of Trump +5, but The Economist comes right back at Clinton +5, while Reuters finishes off the Republican’s hopes for a lead with Clinton +7. Clinton’s overall lead goes to 3.9 in the average.
The four way contest is a net benefit to Trump, not Clinton, according to the polls. Gary Johnson’s traveling circus isn’t even pretending to be a conservative-friendly option, so he draws off more BernieBoyz than #NeverTrump folks.
In the Electoral College, it’s a bloodbath. Since Monday morning Trump has lost Nevada, Colorado, and North Carolina, putting Clinton back to a healthy 322-216 lead. No coughing fits there.
The first Presidential debate didn’t help Trump, and so far the Vice Presidential debate didn’t catch him back up, either. He’d better practice for the next debate, if he wants to win this thing.
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