As RedState reported, former Maryland governor Larry Hogan (R-MD) unexpectedly announced his run for the United States Senate. Polls show Hogan leading against Democrat Angela Alsobrooks 44 to 37 and tied with Democrat David Trone at 42 apiece. 

📊 MARYLAND POLL: Emerson

SEN:
Larry Hogan (R): 44% (+7)
Angela Alsobrooks (D): 37%
.
Larry Hogan (R): 42% (=)
David Trone (D): 42%
—
DEM SEN:
Trone: 32% (+15)
Alsobrooks: 17%
—
PRES:
Biden: 55% (+23)
Trump: 32%
—
538 Rank: #8 (2.9/3.0) | RVs | 2/12-13https://t.co/MmZXc63X4v pic.twitter.com/vXjKth3nKQ

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 15, 2024

In a state where President Biden defeated former President Trump in 2020 — if Hogan manages to flip the Maryland seat, the GOP should comfortably be able to win back the Senate. 

As RedState also reported, Hogan has an uphill battle because he isn't the first choice for most Republicans. However, they might hold their nose and vote for him if that means Democrats lose control of the Senate.

Although it will be tough to win some seats, such as defeating Jon Tester in Montana, as Rep. Matt Rosendale (R) dropped out of the race, and former Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy (R) trails in the most recent poll there, though he did just pick up the endorsement of Trump. Still, the GOP candidate is all but guaranteed to win in West Virginia. Joe Manchin will likely opt out of running for re-election. But the most recent poll showed all three GOP candidates defeating Manchin. 

2024 West Virginia Senate Poll:

(R) Jim Justice 47% (+15)
(D) Joe Manchin 32%

(R) Patrick Morrisey 50% (+14)
(D) Joe Manchin 36%

(R) Alex Mooney 45% (+7)
(D) Joe Manchin 38%

Triton Polling | 762 RV | 8/24-26https://t.co/ituOE5Ra2J

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 8, 2022

Kari Lake holds a narrow lead against Democrat Rep. Ruben Gallego. Per the internal poll, Lake will perform better against Gallego if Sen. Kyrsten Sinema decides not to run for re-election. 

2024 Arizona Senate GE:

Lake (R) 40% (+1)
Gallego (D) 39%
Sinema (I-inc) 13%
.
Head-2-Head:
Lake (R) 46% (+2)
Gallego (D) 44%

.@JLPartnersPolls/@KariLake (R) Internal Pollhttps://t.co/Ydk4NpSNEO

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 2, 2024

Ohio also seems like a state that the GOP could flip, especially after Sen. J.D. Vance (R) defeated Tim Ryan (D) during the 2022 midterm elections, and it is a state that Trump carried in 2016 and 2020. 

Ohio Senate poll

Brown 39% (+2)
Moreno 37%

Brown 39% (+2)
LaRose 37%

Brown 38% (+1)
Dolan 37%

Without Brown:
Moreno 22%
LaRose 21%
Dolan 15%

Emerson (538 Rank: 8)

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) February 1, 2024

One state to keep an eye on is Michigan — if former Rep. Justin Amash decides to run for the Senate. The Democrat frontrunner, Rep. Elissa Slotkin, is a serious candidate, and the GOP will need someone like Amash to go up against her.

Running for Senate is no small task, but the response so far has been incredible. If you’d like me to take on the challenge of becoming the next senator from Michigan, let me know how you can help, including if you’d like to work on a potential campaign: https://t.co/fYd520aKN2

— Justin Amash (@justinamash) January 21, 2024

Per The Cook Political Report -- Ohio, Montana, and Arizona are toss-up races, while Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin lean Democrat. There are no races that lean Republican, though West Virginia is solid Republican. Maryland, on the other hand, is rated as likely Democrat; however, as mentioned earlier, Hogan is polling strongly and could flip that seat. 

Old habits die hard. These are the same talking points coming out of Washington and the same tired attacks from when I ran for governor. The voters didn’t buy it then, and they won’t buy it now. I made a promise to Marylanders, and I kept that promise by always protecting women's… pic.twitter.com/84l2wC9Og7

— Governor Larry Hogan (@GovLarryHogan) February 15, 2024

2024 is a great opportunity for the GOP to take over the Senate and make Chuck Schumer the Senate Minority Leader once again.