If the GOP has any hope of keeping Senate control, they are going to have to rely on voters splitting tickets in some states as opposed to voting one party down the ballot. There is every indication that is happening in Florida, based on the final Quinnipiac poll for Florida.
In Florida, Republican incumbent U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio leads U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, the Democratic challenger, 50 – 43 percent. The North Carolina U.S. Senate race between Republican incumbent Richard Burr and Democratic challenger Deborah Ross is a 47 – 47 percent dead heat, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.
Clinton gets 46 percent to Trump’s 45 percent, with 3 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Green party candidate Jill Stein, virtually unchanged from November 2 results;
A seven point lead is super bad news for Democrats who hoped the Murphy and his empty suit would gain them another seat on Hillary Clinton’s coattails. It is also sad news for any of the fools who said Marco Rubio’s political career was “over” because of how he did in the presidential primary.
Here is more detailed breakdown of the numbers:
Hillary Clinton has 47 percent of Florida voters who already have cast ballots, with 43 percent for Trump.
Independent likely voters are split with 45 percent for Clinton and 44 percent for Trump. Trump leads 86 – 7 percent among Republicans, while Clinton takes Democrats 85 – 10 percent.
White voters back Trump 57 – 34 percent while non-white voters back Clinton 68 – 23 percent. Women go to Clinton 50 – 42 percent, while Trump leads among men 48 – 40 percent.
In the Florida Senate race, early voters go 48 percent for Rubio and 46 percent for Murphy.
Sen. Marco Rubio’s lead is based on a 55 – 39 percent lead among independent likely voters. Republicans back the incumbent 93 – 3 percent, while Democrats back the challenger 88 – 8 percent.
Rubio leads 56 – 40 percent among men and 60 – 34 percent among white voters. Women are divided 46 – 46 percent. Murphy leads 61 – 33 percent among non-white voters.
“U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy is not getting the support a Democrat needs among women and non-white voters to overcome Sen. Marco Rubio’s lead among men and white voters,” Brown said.
Now you can see why Rubio is leading. He has a much larger lead among men than Trump does against Clinton and Murphy’s lead with non-white voters is smaller than Clinton’s is over Trump.
The early vote totals are not good for Trump either. Chances are, it will be close as it was in 2012, but Clinton may squeak through with a win.