President Donald Trump waves during an event celebrating American truckers, at the White House, Thursday, April 16, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
This is the 36th in a series of nightly updates regarding Wuhan Virus numbers in these United States. As of 2359Z, the below charts reflect current U.S. Wuhan virus numbers.
Chart One’s data table shows Total Reported Infections, Total Reported Fatalities, and estimated Mortality Rate. The upper graph shows the reported number of reported NEW infections by date. Today’s number of new infections reported is 29,760, which is 3,775 more than yesterday. The curve in new infections is, however, still moving in the right direction.
The lower graph shows new reported U.S. Fatalities. Today, we added 2,328 to the total count of American deaths, raising the total to 47,646. This was 476 fewer than yesterday. This chart has been modified to also reflect new U.S. fatalities without New York skewing the numbers. The RedState Readership can compare both lines and draw its own conclusions.
The second chart shows the estimated U.S. Wuhan Virus Mortality rate. The Mortality Rate (M/R) (calculated by dividing the number of reported U.S. Infections into the number of reported U.S Fatalities) remains over 5%.
This chart also contains a “What If” graphic. It represents the M/R for reported infections. This chart will also be modified in time for tomorrow’s report, to reflect New York’s outsized impact on U.S. numbers. This chart now shows the M/R if we assume for each reported case of Wuhan Virus, there are 1, 2, or 3 other persons out there with it. These numbers will change going forward as we find better, more accurate information to use as the denominator. For today’s report:
M/R = 5.62%
+1 = 2.81%
+2 = 1.87%
+3 = 1.40%
Analysis: Today, we see the evidence of continued artificial tampering with the numbers and, yet again, the continued outsized impact the State of New York has on reporting. I had a conference call with the Managing Editor today. His decision is that instead of a daily numbers dump, starting this coming Monday, we will produce an in-depth, weekly report with more data and more analysis. I’ll continue to produce this report until then. The last one will be Sunday evening unless circumstances change.
The RedState Team hopes this is of some value. Whether it is or isn’t, please let me know in the comments.
Prayers for all the folks on the front lines of this effort who are putting themselves at risk on our behalf.
Below is the screenshot of the Worldometers site, showing the “as of” timestamp for the data in this post.