There’s a demoralizing of the Republican Party happening right now. The promise of a clean sweep of both the Senate and the House is now being tempered as Democrats begin making up lost ground and closing in on Republican candidates.
It’s not without its merits. The RealClearPolitics average of the generic ballot shows Democrats closing the gap after a Republican breakaway to the point of tying at 43.9 percent on the 19th. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell can’t help but sound like an Eeyore impersonator when discussing the Senate’s lackluster Republican candidates ruining the Senate’s chances in the upcoming election. Democrats are even out-fundraising Republicans by large amounts.
It paints a depressing picture of a Republican Party that’s heavily bleeding momentum. To be sure, Republicans are seeing a bit of a lag, but there are reasons to believe that this is the calm before the storm.
As Guy Benson noted at Townhall, the GOP is seeing some hopeful signs in terms of enthusiasm generated from various events. To the detriment of the left, the fall of Roe v Wade actually embolden voters to vote Republican and demoralized Democrat voters. The nation is still in the throes of a recession that they largely blame Democrats and the Biden administration for. Moreover, polls show Republicans in battleground districts are holding substantial leads.
Then, there’s this interesting number that Benson notes:
A significant chunk of undecideds is white voters without a college degree. Those are heavily Republican-leaners these days. And among the undecideds overall, they’re overwhelmingly Biden disapprovers. How are they likely to break? I do think it’s a cinch that Democrats will outperform Biden’s approval rating (perhaps significantly) in vote share, partially because quite a few people who give the president low marks are dyed-in-the-wool Democrats who will nevertheless turn out and vote against Republicans. But can Democrats really survive a political climate that looks anything like this?
🚨 CD Media / @BigDataPoll ARIZONA
Biden Job Approval:
N=1,298 LV / 07/16-18 /+/- 2.7%https://t.co/Vi1i3Osbig
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2022
Biden’s attempt to have taxpayers pony up to pay for student loan debt of degree holders probably isn’t going to play well with independents who don’t have college degrees. They were already being influenced to the right as it is, but this could be a straw that breaks the camel’s back for them. We could probably count a majority chunk of them to swing Republican in 2022.
The enthusiasm can also be seen in different ways. The loss of Liz Cheney, the Republicans taking Democrat districts in Texas, and school board elections ousting radical leftists are strong indicators that Republicans aren’t just ready to vote; they’re on the hunt.
It should also be noted that the law of undulation will likely take place. The party in the White House tends to lose power in the House and Senate, and with Biden doing so horribly it’s a good bet that Democrats will be battling from the low ground.
My guess is that things are going to get quieter on the Republican front and noisier on the Democrat side. Democrats are going to give 2022 one last push with advertising, social campaigns, and wild promises. Republicans, more at ease with the environment working in their favor, may not push as hard.
This, in my opinion, would be a mistake. Republicans need to counter every Democrat move until it’s time to stop pulling the lever.
That said, this really comes down to you. Republicans only win if people get out and vote and believing that someone else will handle all the voting is only going to make Democrats that much stronger. Hubris can be just as destructive as demoralization. The key, at this point, is to make sure people understand that Democrat plans are only going to expand upon the ones they’ve already put in place, and those plans have utterly destroyed our economy, opened our borders, elevated crime, and more.
If Republicans can keep pushing economic health and anti-radicalism, then it should be a solid win for Republicans in 2022.